Dolphins vs. Patriots Week 17 NFL Pick & Point Spread: December 30th 2012

Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots
Point Spread: New England -10 Over/Under 46 (December 30th 2012)
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ATS Trends:
Patriots are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 17. Patriots are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in December. Dolphins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in December. Dolphins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf. Dolphins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Dolphins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Dolphins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Over/Under Trends:
Over is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Over is 6-1 in Patriots last 7 games in Week 17. Over is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 games following a ATS loss. Over is 13-3 in Patriots last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Over is 8-2 in Patriots last 10 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 4-0 in Dolphins last 4 vs. AFC East. Under is 4-0 in Dolphins last 4 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 10-1-1 in Dolphins last 12 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Over is 9-2 in Dolphins last 11 games in Week 17. Under is 17-5 in Dolphins last 22 games on fieldturf.
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Head-to-Head Trends:
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Dolphins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in New England. Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Road team is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
| NEW ENGLAND LAST 5 | SEASON | REMAINING | YARDS | PER PLAY | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DATE | VS. | SCORE | LINE | O/U | TOT | RUSH | PASS | TOT | RUSH | PASS | |
| 12/23/12 | @JAC | W 23-16 | L -14 | U 51.5 | -87 | 10 | -97 | -0.8 | -0.2 | -0.7 | |
| 12/16/12 | SF | L 34-41 | L -4 | O 47 | 132 | -85 | 217 | -0.2 | -0.7 | -1.8 | |
| 12/10/12 | HOU | W 42-14 | W -5.5 | O 50.5 | 96 | 30 | 66 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.8 | |
| 12/02/12 | @MIA | W 23-16 | L -8 | U 51 | 44 | 7 | 37 | -0.5 | -0.4 | -0.7 | |
| 11/22/12 | @NYJ | W 49-19 | W -7 | O 48 | 70 | 33 | 37 | 1.0 | -0.2 | 4.0 | |
| MIAMI LAST 5 | SEASON | REMAINING | YARDS | PER PLAY | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DATE | VS. | SCORE | LINE | O/U | TOT | RUSH | PASS | TOT | RUSH | PASS | |
| 12/23/12 | BUF | W 24-10 | W -5 | U 43.5 | -80 | 28 | -108 | -1.0 | -0.3 | -1.7 | |
| 12/16/12 | JAC | W 24-3 | W -7.5 | U 38.5 | 90 | 94 | -4 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.9 | |
| 12/09/12 | @SF | L 13-27 | L 10.5 | O 38.5 | -94 | -61 | -33 | -2.2 | -1.3 | -3.2 | |
| 12/02/12 | NE | L 16-23 | W 8 | U 51 | -44 | -7 | -37 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.7 | |
| 11/25/12 | SEA | W 24-21 | W 3 | O 37.5 | 123 | 93 | 30 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 1.5 | |
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