MLB Predictions: April 30th 2012
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres
Prediction: San Diego Padres -108
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The Brewers were able to salvage one game at St. Louis with a 3-2 win on Sunday but now they head out west with a 4-6 record on the road. The offense managed only six runs in the three-game set against the Cardinals and that offense has been an issue all season. The Brewers are hitting only .237 on the season including a mere .228 on the road and both of those are near the bottom of the league. Milwaukee is now 16-35 in its last 51 games as an underdog.

It was the opposite way for San Diego as it won the series opener at San Francisco before losing the final two games of their three-game series. The Padres are now back home for a nine-game homestand which could prove to be a very integral part of the season should it go one way or the other. The Padres are just 5-9 at home and like the Brewers, it is the offense that has been holding it back. Not favored often, the Padres do take advantage as they are 4-0 in their last four games when laying the price.

San Diego sends Joe Wieland to the hill and while he has yet to pick up a win in his rookie season, he has looked sharp. His Major League debut was not a good one as he allowed six runs in five innings on the road against the Dodgers but he has settled in at home where he has tossed two quality starts while posting a 2.25 ERA and 1.17 WHIP over 12 innings. Run support is the issue but we should see another strong outing as the Brewers are 0-5 in their last five road games against right-handed starters.

The Brewers counter with Randy Wolf who is off to a rough start this season. He is coming off a quality outing but that was his first one as his other three starts resulted in some bad numbers. Even though his last start was a good one, he has a 7.17 ERA on the year including a 16.62 ERA in his lone road start. He has bee hit hard in three of his last four starts in San Diego and Milwaukee is 3-9 in his last 12 road starts against teams with a losing road record. 3* (962) San Diego Padres -Matt Fargo

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
MLB Baseball Playoffs Betting Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -150 (October 7th 2011)

Milwaukee was unable to close out the Diamondbacks in Arizona, but that won’t stop me from laying the juice on the Brewers in Game 5 tonight. Milwaukee was the best home team in all of baseball during the regular season and had no trouble beating the Diamondbacks at home in the first two games of the series.

Milwaukee will send out their ace Yovani Gallardo, who is 11-2 with a 2.87 ERA and 1.097 WHIP in 17 home starts. He was brilliant in game 1 of the series, holding Arizona to just 1 run on 4 hits in 8 innings of a 4-1 win. That dominant performance was nothing new for Gallardo against the the Diamondbacks. He is 6-0 with 1.18 ERA and 0.868 WHIP in six career starts.

The Brewers are 47-13 in their last 60 games as a home favorite, 41-10 in their last 51 home games vs. a right-handed starter, and 6-1 in Gallardos last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. BET MILWAUKEE!

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Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
MLB Baseball Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -110 odds (September 6th 2011)

The Milwaukee Brewers are showing solid value Monday as just a small road favorite over the St. Louis Cardinals. Trailing the Brewers by 10.5 games in the NL Central, the Cardinals realize their fate has been set. Milwaukee just continues to win, taking down four straight games heading into this one. The Brewers are now 40-15 in their last 55 games overall to get to 85-57 on the season. Yovani Gallardo is having a solid 2011 campaign, going 15-9 with a 3.68 ERA and 1.271 WHIP in 29 starts. He’ll be opposed by Kyle Lohse, who is 12-8 with a 3.72 ERA on the season, and 1-1 with an 11.25 ERA in his last two outings. Lohse is 3-8 with a 5.21 ERA and 1.414 WHIP in 16 career starts against Milwaukee. The Brewers are 15-3 in their last 18 games as a favorite of -110 to -150, including a perfect 9-0 in their last 9 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150. Milwaukee is also 56-19 in their last 75 games as a favorite. The Cardinals are 0-7 in Lohse’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Take the Brew Crew Tuesday. Get more MLB baseball picks from Jack Jones at Touthouse.com.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -163 MLB Lines (August 16th 2011)
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On Tuesday the free Play is on the Milwaukee Brewers. Game 962 at 8:10 eastern. The Brewers are an amazing 17-0 at home after allowing 3 runs or less in back to back games. They have their ace going tonight in Y. Gallardo. In his home starts he has a 2.12 era and the Brewers have won 9 of the 11 times he has pitched here at home. The Dodgers counter with Chad Billingsley and he has been mediocre on the road with a 5.53 era. Over his last 3 starts in particular he has been hit hard with an elevated 6.19 era. In his last start here in Milwaukee he allowed 5 runs in 5 innings.. The Dodgers have lost 4 of this season as a road dog from +150 to +175, while the Brewers are 17-4 of late vs losing teams and 15-5 as a home favorite from -150 to -175. Had I been able to tie a power system into the equation and had Gallardo had better numbers vs the Dodgers we would have made this a unit rated selection. However there are some solid angles here to warrant making the Brewers a free play. On Tuesday there are 2 solid games up. One is a 14-2 road warrior system side with a big pitching advantage, the other a solid totals system in the American League with a perfect subset. Those with us on Monday nailed the big Goy play. More damage tonight. Jump on and role your book like wholesale carpet tonight. For the free play take the Brewers. RV

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
MLB Baseball Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -159 odds (July 5th 2011)
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The Brewers look to rebound tonight following the series opening loss on Monday. They look to Randy Wolf who has been extremely solid for them this season, posting a 3.33 ERA through 17 starts. He has been even better at home, putting up a 2.78 ERA in seven starts, six of which have been quality outings including four in a row. He is coming off a non-quality effort against the Yankees last time out but a bounceback can be expected knowing the Diamondbacks are 20-43 in their last 63 road games against lefty starters.

Arizona counters with Zach Duke who is struggling to find any sort of rhythm. He is coming off another poor start and those are becoming the norm as after tossing seven shutout innings in his first start since coming back from the disabled list, Duke is 0-3 with a 7.26 ERA in his six starts since then, only one of which has been a quality outing. He is not a fan of facing the Brewers as he is 4-7 with a 6.14 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in 17 career starts. This includes a 0-6 record and 8.13 ERA in 11 starts at Miller Park. 3* (910) Milwaukee Brewers

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers
MLB Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays +119 odds (June 21st 2011)
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The Tampa Bay Rays are showing excellent value Tuesday as a road underdog to the Milwaukee Brewers. They have played tremendous baseball on the road, and they have the better starter on the mound here. The Rays are 22-15 on the road this season where they are scoring 5.1 runs/game. Zach Greinke has been fortunate to get solid run support this season for a 6-2 record, because he has a whopping 5.23 ERA in nine starts this year. Jeremy Hellickson is 7-5 with a 3.09 ERA and 1.138 WHIP in 13 starts in 2011 for Tampa. He has been a phenom in his second year in the big leagues. The Brewers are 4-16 (-13.3 Units) against the money line after 2 straight losses by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. Greinke is 29-50 (-24.1 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse since 1997. The Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games. Tampa is 5-0 in Hellickson’s last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. The Brewers are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. Take the Rays on the Money Line.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox
MLB Pick: Boston Red Sox -177 MLB odds (June 18th 2011)
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5* graded play on the Boston Red Sox as they take on the Milwaukee Brewers set to start at 7:10 PM ET. My proprietary simulator and statistical database shows a high probability that Boston will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a 43-5 record for 90% winners since 1997. Play on all favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings against opponent with a hot starting pitcher posting an ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts. Moreover, Boston is a solid 25-6 (+17.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season; 27-9 (+14.9 Units) against the money line facing a solid bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better this season. Milwaukee is just 7-21 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in road games facing an excellent fielding team averaging <=0.5 errors per game over the last two seasons. Milwaukee is batting just .234 and scoring 3.5 RPG in 36 road games this season and now they have to face one of the best starters in the AL. Lester is 9-2 and is coming off a strong start pitching eight innings allowing just two hits and one ER walking one batter while striking out eight batters. Take the Red Sox.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers
MLB Pick: St. Louis Cardinals +101 odds (June 10th 2011)
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The St. Louis Cardinals sit atop the NL Central with a 38-26 record this season. This team is 20-14 on the road, hitting .290 and scoring 5.8 runs/game away from home. With the edge they have on the mound tonight, we’ll side with St. Louis to take Game 1 of this series with Milwaukee. Kyle Lohse is 7-2 with a 2.41 ERA and 0.988 WHIP in 12 starts this year, including 5-0 with a 1.70 ERA and 0.921 WHIP in six road starts. The Cardinals are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. NL Central foes and 4-0 in Lohse’s last four starts overall. Chris Narveson is 2-4 with a 4.85 ERA and 1.416 WHIP In 12 starts this year for Milwaukee, including 0-1 with a 10.66 ERA and 2.054 WHIP in his last 3 starts. St. Louis is 13-4 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season. The Brewers are 15-39 (-24.6 Units) against the money line after a game where they committed 3 or more errors since 1997. The Brewers are 0-5 in Narveson’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series. St. Louis is 10-4 in their last 14 meetings in Milwaukee. Take the Cardinals on the Money Line.

New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers
MLB Pick: Over 8 -110 MLB odds (June 7th 2011)
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The New York Mets travel to Milwaukee for a three-game set against the host Brewers with the first game set for Tuesday night at 8:10PM EST. The Mets will send Chris Capuano to the bump with his 3-6 record and ERA of 5.13. Capuano and the Mets are 7-3 Over in his starts this season. In his last three trips to the hill, he has posted a record of 0-2 with an ERA of 6.23. New York is 5-0 Over their last five on the highway, 10-1 Over facing teams from the NL Central, 6-1-1 Over versus teams with a winning record, 11-2 Over versus right-handed starters, 12-3-1 Over their last sixteen overall and 4-0 Over when Capuano takes the mound. Milwaukee will give the ball to Shaun Marcum on Tuesday night. He is 3-1 at home this season with an ERA of 4.78. The Brewers are 6-0 Over their last six at home versus a team with a losing road record, 10-4-2 Over at home versus left-handed starters and 49-24-4 Over at home versus teams with a losing record. This series has seen a record of 35-15-3 Over the last fifty-three meetings and 21-7-3 Over the last thirty-one in Milwaukee. The Math Model projects a total of 10.2 runs in tonight’s matchup so we will play the Over here as this one sails over the posted total of 8.

MLB Picks: May 30th 2011
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Pick: Toronto Blue Jays -112
I believe there is a ton of value on the Blue Jays at home against the Cleveland Indians. Toronto comes into the game on a three game winning streak, while the Indians have won just one of their last five. The Blue Jays offense has scored 26 runs over the three game stretch, and should have no trouble keeping it going. Cleveland’s starter Fausto Carmona is just 3-5 with a 4.73 ERA this season, but has really struggled of late and on the road. He is 1-3 in five starts on the road and is 0-2 with a 6.97 ERA over his last three starts. The Blue Jays counter with Jo-Jo Reyes, who hasn’t been great, but with the way the offense is rolling he should be able to come in and grab his first win of the season. The oddsmakers have the Blue Jays favored for a reason. Reyes will be making his first career start against the Indians, which should give him a slight advantage early. The Blue Jays are 19-11 against the money line in night games this season, 19-7 in their last 26 during game 1 of a series, 7-2 in their last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game, and 7-1 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.BET TORONTO! -Steve Janus

Pick: Cincinnati Reds -122
The Reds are one of the best hitting teams against left handed starters this year. In 9 games against lefties they’ve averaged 6.6 runs per game and hit .296 as a team. They are also one of the strongest home teams in baseball, posting a 15-11 record so far this season. Today they are paired with the Milwaukee Brewers who, despite their recent success, are one of the worst road teams in the Majors at just 8-17. The Brewers score over a run less per game on the road and hit over 30 points worse per game away from Miller Park. The smart money is on the Reds at Great American Ballpark on Monday. -Jack Jones

Pick: St. Louis Cardinals -139
The Giants, which have lost 5 of their last 6, find themselves at a disadvantage this afternoon with Bumgarner on the hill against the red hot Red Birds – winners of 10 of their last 13. San Francisco is just 2-8 in Bumgarner’s starts this season, only providing him an average of 2.37 runs of support. He can’t expect much run support here with McClellan dealing for St. Louis. He’s 5-1 (8-1 on the money line) with an ERA of 3.12 in 9 starts this season. The Cards are a perfect 4-0 in his 4 home starts. The converted reliever has pitched 5 1/3 scoreless innings of relief against the Giants in six appearances. The Giants have lost 4 of their last 5 in St. Louis and I expect their struggles to continue tonight. Get more expert MLB picks from our professional sports handicappers at Touthouse.com