Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat
NBA Playoffs Odds: Miami -13 Over/Under 199 (April 21st 2013)
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ATS Trends:
Heat are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Sunday games. Heat are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Heat are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Heat are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference. Bucks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 Sunday games. Bucks are 19-41 ATS in their last 60 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Bucks are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 Conference Quarterfinals games. Bucks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Bucks are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 home games. Over is 4-1 in Heat last 5 overall. Over is 4-1 in Heat last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Over is 4-1 in Heat last 5 games following a S.U. win. Over is 4-1 in Heat last 5 vs. Eastern Conference. Over is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 Sunday games. Under is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 games following a ATS win. Under is 6-1 in Bucks last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 6-1 in Bucks last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 games following a S.U. win.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Miami. Bucks are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Miami. Under is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings.

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Toronto Raptors vs. Milwaukee Bucks
Odds: Milwaukee -6 Over/Under 200 (March 2nd 2013)
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ATS Trends:
Bucks are 46-17-2 ATS in their last 65 vs. NBA Atlantic. Bucks are 17-35 ATS in their last 52 home games. Bucks are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 Saturday games. Bucks are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall. Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. Raptors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest. Raptors are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Raptors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games. Raptors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 3-0-1 in Bucks last 4 overall. Under is 3-0-1 in Bucks last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Under is 4-0-1 in Bucks last 5 home games. Under is 7-0 in Bucks last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 6-1 in Raptors last 7 overall. Under is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 road games. Under is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 vs. Eastern Conference. Under is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 16-5 in Raptors last 21 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Raptors are 2-9 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Road team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

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Brooklyn Nets vs. Milwaukee Bucks
NBA Prediction: Under 193 (February 20th 2013)
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I won with the “over” when these two teams met yesterday, part of a 5-0 Tuesday “sweep.” The final score eclipsed the total long before the game reached OT.

The second game of a home and home series is often played at a different tempo from the first though. That said, I’m expecting significantly fewer points in tonight’s rematch.

As noted yesterday, the Nets score more points AND they also allow more, when playing at Brooklyn. When playing on the road, as they are this evening, the “under” is a profitable 15-9. (Those games averaged 187 points.) That includes a 5-1 “under” mark when the Nets played a road game with an O/U line in the 190 to 194.5 range.

The Nets have also seen the “under” go 10-6-1 the last 17 times (9-4-1 L14 on the road) that they played the second of back-to-back games, dating back to last season. That includes a 2-0 “under” mark their last two in that situation. Those games finished with scores of 183 and 173.

Meanwhile, the Bucks have seen the “under” go 7-5 the last dozen times that they played their second game in two days. Note that Milwaukee was held to double-digits in scoring in nine of those games and that only four of those 12 opponents hit triple-digits.

The Bucks, who entered the break off four straight games which stayed below the total, have seen the “under” go 11-6-1 the past couple of seasons, when playing a home game where the O/U line ranged from 190 to 194.5.

It should also be noted that the O/U line was only 187 when Brooklyn visited here earlier in the season. We’re getting considerably more points to work with here and I feel that’s providing some value. Consider the Under.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Brooklyn Nets
Point Spread: Brooklyn -4.5 Over/Under 194 (February 19th 2013)
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ATS Trends:
Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Nets are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Nets are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Nets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Nets are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games. Bucks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Tuesday games. Bucks are 45-16-2 ATS in their last 63 vs. NBA Atlantic. Bucks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Bucks are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 7-1 in Nets last 8 vs. Eastern Conference. Under is 5-2 in Nets last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Under is 5-2 in Nets last 7 games following a S.U. win. Over is 5-2 in Nets last 7 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Under is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 overall. Over is 6-0 in Bucks last 6 games following a S.U. win. Under is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 games following a ATS loss. Over is 6-1 in Bucks last 7 Tuesday games. Under is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Bucks are 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Brooklyn. Favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Bucks are 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings. Under is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings in Brooklyn.

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NBA Basketball Picks: February 11th 2013
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Pick: Milwaukee Bucks -4
On Monday the Free NBA System Play is on the Milwaukee Bucks. Game 712 at 8:05 eastern. The Bucks look to rebound here as they are coming off an upset home loss to Detroit on Saturday. We note that home favorites with 1 day of rest that were home favorites of 5 or more and scored 100 or more despite shooting 45% or less are 21-4 with 18 spread wins vs an opponent that scored 90 or less at home. The Bucks are 16-6 ats off back to back losses and are 3-1 ats as a home favorite from -3.5 to -6. In game following a straight up favored loss they are 6-2 ats. Washington is a terrible 4-15 with just 5 spread wins and as a road dog from +3.5 to +6. Look for the Bucks to get the win and cover. On Monday the 6* NBA Non Conference Total Of the Year is up with 4 Perfect Indicators 2 are totals system one is Beating the Total by over 18 points per game. There is also a 5* NBA System play in the Spurs at Bulls game and the BIG 12 ESPN Play. Jump on and start the week big. Top play on Memphis cashes easily. I will have another free play on the Weekly sports talk radio show at 7:05 eastern. Listen online at tunein dot com/radio/WSIA-889-s22807/. For the Free play tonight take the Milwaukee Bucks. -Rob Vinciletti

Pick: Los Angeles Clippers -4.5
The Clippers are showing some great value tonight even though they will be playing on no rest. Los Angeles is finally back to full strength and it’s only a matter of time before they start playing like the team that had the best record in the Western Conference earlier this season. This is a big game for the Clippers, as they want to finish up their 8-game road trip at .500. Philadelphia comes in having won 4 of five, but those four wins came against the likes of Charlotte, Orlando, Sacramento and Washington. Sandwiched in there was a horrible 69-88 loss at home to the Pacers, who were playing their 3rd game in three nights. The 76ers simply aren’t a very good team and I wouldn’t be surprised at all if the Clippers won this game by double-digits. Los Angeles is 16-6 ATS as a favorite of 3.5-9.5 points this season, while the 76ers are a miserable 2-10 ATS after covering the number in three of their last 4 games this season. BET THE CLIPPERS! -Steve Janus

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Pick: Cleveland Cavaliers -6.5
This is a game with two teams headed in opposite directions. Minnesota has been devastated by injuries, in particular Kevin Love, but also Brandon Roy, Josh Howard, and Chase Buddinger. Since Love went down the Wolves are just 3-15 and went from being a playoff contender to another stepping stone. Cleveland on the other hand is rolling a little bit. This team has won three of their last four and six of their last nine. I think they are going to be out for revenge here tonight against a Wolves team that put a 18 point beating down on them in Minnesota back in December. -Jimmy Boyd

NBA Betting Picks: February 1st 2013
Milwaukee Bucks vs. New York Knicks
Prediction: Over 204.5
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Milwaukee has really picked up their scoring since getting rid of Scott Skiles. This is a team that had scored 108 or more points in five straight games before the loss to the Bulls, but Chicago is a very good defensive team, especially at home and even that game went over the total.

New Yorks’ offense has been solid too whenever they step out of the division. The have put up 100 or more in five straight non-division games. The Knicks are scoring 102.7 ppg on their home floor by shooting 39.7% from the 3-point line. I think you are going to see this game go OVER the high number, but since odds makers are catching up to Milwaukee’s scoring the value is only there for a small play.

** This is one of the STRONGEST cards of the season from Jimmy Boyd! He has a 5* CBB NO BRAINER going that continues his INCREDIBLE 47-31 (60%) TEAR in college hoops and his 8-2 run on his coveted 5* CBB releases! The NBA is going to be a BLOOD BATH for the books as well. Boyd is coming off ANOTHER 5* winner last night on the Mavs/Warriors UNDER and is on a 26-15 (63%) TEAR with his last 41 NBA 5* Totals. Jimmy is now 100-74 (57%) since 2009 on ALL NBA Totals he has released and his 5* Pre-All Streak Break TOTAL OF THE YEAR goes on ESPN. He has TORE THE BOOKS UP the last four years in the NBA, going 556-461 (55%) and he strikes again on Friday night with his 5* NO DOUBT ATS ROUT! ***

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Milwaukee Bucks
Point Spread: Milwaukee -6.5 Over/Under 196 (January 22nd 2013)
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ATS Trends:
Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games. Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest. Bucks are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 vs. Eastern Conference. Bucks are 44-14-2 ATS in their last 60 vs. NBA Atlantic. Bucks are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. 76ers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Central. 76ers are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games playing on 0 days rest. 76ers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. 76ers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Tuesday games. 76ers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 6-0-1 in Bucks last 7 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Under is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. Over is 7-2 in Bucks last 9 Tuesday games. Under is 20-7 in Bucks last 27 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 19-7 in Bucks last 26 games following a S.U. win. Under is 4-0 in 76ers last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. Under is 6-0-1 in 76ers last 7 road games. Under is 6-0-1 in 76ers last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 11-1-1 in 76ers last 13 Tuesday games. Under is 16-3 in 76ers last 19 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Milwaukee. Under is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings. 76ers are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

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