Baseball Picks: June 13th 2013
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins
Prediction: Phillies -130 odds
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The Philadelphia Phillies have a big edge on the mound tonight with Cliff Lee over Minnesota’s Kevin Correia. I’ll lay a little extra juice here and back the Phillies as they come in highly motivated to put an end to their current 5-game losing streak.
Lee has pitched like the former Cy Young that he is in 2013. The left-hander has gone 7-2 with a 2.55 ERA and 1.007 WHIP in 13 starts this season, including 5-1 with a 1.80 ERA and 0.867 WHIP in eight road starts.
Correia is 5-4 with a 4.11 ERA and 1.318 WHIP in 12 starts this season for Minnesota, including 1-0 with a 4.74 ERA and 1.368 WHIP in his last three outings. The right-hander is 1-2 with a monstrous 9.98 ERA and 2.674 WHIP in four career starts against Philadelphia.
Minnesota is 7-31 (-22.0 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher who throws more than 6.5 innings per start over the last 2 seasons. Philadelphia is 6-1 in Lee’s last 7 starts overall. The Twins are 14-49 in their last 63 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Bet the Phillies Thursday.
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MLB Predictions: May 31st 2013
Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins
Pick: Seattle -121 odds
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The Twins are coming off a four game sweep of Milwaukee, but things get a little tougher tonight with Seattle in town. Seattle doesn’t intimidate anyone with their bats, but they do have what some say is the best 1-2 punch in the majors with Hernandez and Iwakuma.
We saw Hernandez in action last night in a 7-1 victory over San Diego, and we will see Hisashi Iwakuma strut his stuff tonight at Target Field.
Iwakuma (5-1, 2.35 ERA) allowed just two runs on five hits over eight innings in a 4-3 victory over Texas his last time out. He certainly has an impressive track record against the Twins, going 2-0 without allowing a single run over 13 innings in his last two starts, one of those in Minnesota.
The Twins will hand the ball to Mike Pelfrey, who has been terrible in his last three appearances. He allowed five runs on five hits over 5 2/3 innings in a 6-1 loss to Detroit his last time out. Prior to that he only made it through two innings before being chased from the game in a 5-4 loss to the Braves.
Even the Mariners should be able to do a little damage against Pelfrey.
Take Seattle. Be sure to take advantage of all of Jesse Schule’s MLB predictions for Friday, May 31st 2013 at Touthouse.com
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins
MLB Pick: Minnesota +116 odds (May 28th 2013)
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We’ll recommend playing the Twins in this game on Tuesday night.
The Brewers limp to the finish of a 2-game home series with the Twins on Tuesday night. Ryan Braun, Aramis Ramirez, and Corey Hart are all banged up. It showed on Monday when they managed only 3 runs against Kevin Correia whose ERA was near 7.00 on the road. Scott Diamond is 3-4 in eight starts for Minnesota, but he has not lost in four road starts this season while sporting a 2.19 ERA in those games. Diamond beat the Brewers in Milwaukee last year after giving up 3 runs and eight hits. He’ll face a Milwaukee team that is hitting right around .235 in their last eight games and they are just 4-17 versus left-handed starters. Minnesota’s bullpen has an ERA under 3.00 on the road.
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Alfredo Figaro is making his first start of the season. The righty has recorded no- decisions with a 3.46 ERA in 15 appearances. Figaro is starting in place of Hiram Burgos and he will be able to only go five or six innings at most. The Brewers’ bullpen has a losing record and eight blown saves with half of those coming at home. Minnesota’s offense perked up a bit after a rough end to their series in Detroit. This is a unit that has been able to hit average pitching, and Figaro is the perfect opponent for them. We’ll recommend playing the Twins in this game on Tuesday night.
MLB Picks: May 23rd 2013
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers
Prediction: Tigers -1.5 +120 odds
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Free MLB Baseball Prediction From Doc’s Sports: Take #904 Detroit (-1.5 RL) over Minnesota (7 p.m., Thursday, May 23) Detroit Tigers starter Rick Porcello is on my list of pitchers to bet on right now as Porcello came out of Spring Training as a guy primed for a much better season in 2013 but struggled a bit out of the gates. That has all changed over the last month as Porcello has been as good as he has ever been in his career. He comes in with an ERA of just 3.24 in his last four starts and a WHIP below 1.00. Even more impressive than those numbers is the fact Porcello has gone three straight starts striking out six batters or more for the first time in his career and has averaged nearly a strikeout per inning during that stretch. This hasn’t been coming against bad offenses, either, as his last two starts came against two of the top offenses in all of baseball, the Indians and Rangers. The Tigers once again look to be one of the top teams in baseball this season at home. Detroit also leads both leagues hitting a scorching hot .280 as a team right now.
Minnesota has really started to fall apart as they went into Wednesday’s game losers of seven straight games overall. They have been outscored by a 43-19 margin in those seven losses. Left-hander Scott Diamond takes the hill for the Twins and comes in off his two worst outings of the season, allowing six earned runs in each game without making it out of the sixth inning in either contest. The high-powered Tigers offense should have little problems here against Diamond. Take Detroit minus the run and a half in this one.
MLB Predictions: May 6th 2013
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox
Pick: Minnesota +195 odds
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Preview: Minnesota was able to win the series finale in Cleveland on Sunday, the second straight road series it has done that in to avoid a sweep. Now it heads into Boston trying to get back to .500 for the year in the start of this four-game set.
Minnesota has split its last eight games and it is hoping to get Vance Worley into the win column for the first time in a Twins uniform. He has been very inconsistent and is coming off a rough start in Detroit where he allowed six runs on 10 hits in just 4.2 innings. The good news is that the last time be blew up, allowing six runs against the Mets, he bounced back with a quality start next time out and I expect a similar result here. Boston was playing very well before this weekend as it got swept at Texas and we may finally be seeing this team starting to come back down to earth. The offense has put up just seven runs the last four games and it will be tough for even Clay Buchholz to keep his run going with no support. He has been outstanding as he is 6-0 with a 1.01 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in six starts, all of which have been quality outings. His last outing though he was accused of using a foreign substance and whether true or not, that could be a huge mental issue going into this game. His current run is not going to last forever and he has been hit or miss against the Twins throughout his career, posting a 4.25 ERA over five starts. The price is right for the Twins to come away with the upset on Monday. Play (961) Minnesota Twins. If you enjoyed this Twins vs. Red Sox prediction and preview for May 6th 2013, be sure to get all of Matt Fargo’s expert MLB analysis on our expert sports picks page at Touthouse.com
Baseball Betting Predictions: August 7th 2012
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Indians
MLB Pick: Minnesota Twins +107 odds
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The Indians have completely fallen apart in the 2nd half of the season. With Monday’s 14-3 loss to the Twins, Cleveland has now lost 10 straight overall. While the Indians are struggling, Minnesota comes in playing some of their best baseball of the season, as they have won 8 of their last 11 overall.
Aside from how well each team has been playing lately, I believe the Twins have the clear edge on the mound. Minnesota will send out San Deduno against the Indians Corey Kluber.
Deduno has really been impressive since getting called up in the 2nd half. He is 3-0 with a 2.48 ERA in five starts. One of those starts happened to come against Cleveland, where he allowed just one run on two hits over 7 innings of work. To give you and idea of just how good Deduno has been of late, he has a 0.93 ERA over his last three starts and during that stretch he has allowed a total of 10 hits!
Kluber made his debut last Thursday against the Royals. Needless to say it wasn’t very good. He allowed six runs on nine hits in just 4 and 1/3 innings of work. I don’t see him breaking the Indians streak of poor starting pitching. During the Indians 10-game losing streak they are allowing 8.8 runs/game! BET THE TWINS!
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Baseball Picks: July 18th 2012
Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins
Prediction: Minnesota Twins -147
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Matt promised a strong July start and has not disappointed with a MASSIVE 21-10 MLB start to the month! He heads into the second half on a SMOKING 29-14 run while going back further he is a SWEET 39-19 his last 58 MLB plays! He WON his 3-Pack Tuesday and has another going Wednesday along with an Afternoon Dominator! 3-0 SWEEP!
Minnesota rallied from a 4-1 deficit to win the second game of this series last night and it looks for a series win at a minimum with a victory tonight. The Twins opened the second half by getting swept at home against Oakland which made it five straight losses and the offense really struggled but they have responded by scoring 25 runs in the first two games against the Orioles. Minnesota again has a pitching matchup advantage and it is now 5-0 in its last five home games against teams with a winning record.
Baltimore is now 1-4 since the All-Star break which has added to a run that has not been very good as the Orioles are now 7-17 over its last 24 games and has fallen from the top of the American League East to 10 games behind the Yankees. They are still over .500 on the road but are just 3-9 over their last 12 games on the highway. The pitching has started to implode as the starters have a 4.79 ERA on the season after a strong start. The Orioles are 3-13 in their last 16 games as a road underdog between +110 and +150.
All it took was a trip to the bullpen to sort things out for Francisco Liriano apparently. After posting a 9.45 ERA through his first six starts, he was sent to do some relief work to try and sort things out and after five games, he came back into the rotation and has tossed seven quality outings in nine starts. His command was off early on but since his return to the starting role, he has a 2.83 ERA with 67 strikeouts in 57.1 innings. The Twins are 5-2 in Liriano’s last seven starts against teams with a winning record.
Tommy Hunter has been recalled from Norfolk to make the start in place of the injured Jason Hammel. After posting a 7.31 ERA over five starts in May and June, he was sent to the bullpen and was eventually sent to the minors. During his time in the rotation, he went 0-3 with an 8.07 ERA in six road starts with only one of those resulting in a quality outing. Baltimore has averaged just 3.8 rpg in his road starts and it is 2-5 in his last seven starts as a road underdog between +110 and +150. 3* (928) Minnesota Twins
