NHL Picks: March 21st 2013
Calgary vs. Nashville
Prediction: Nashville -134 odds
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The Preds are coming off a grueling road trip, playing five in a row away from home. They lost the last four of those games, and they now sit four points out of eighth in the Western Conference, and out of the playoff picture. They are likely happy to return home, where they have enjoyed far more success, and they face an opponent that appears to be tailor-made for a team that is badly in need of a win.

The Calgary Flames come into Nashville with little hope remaining as far as the playoffs are concerned. After losing four of six, and seven straight on the road, Calgary sits level on points with last place Colorado in the Western Conference. The return of starting netminder Mikka Kiprusoff hasn’t helped, as only two teams in the league have allowed more goals this year than Calgary. Kirprusoff has won his last two starts at home, allowing five goals combined in those games. He hasn’t fared so well on the road though, allowing 10 goals in his last two starts away from home, losing both those games.

Nashville has really struggled all year on the road, but they are a much better team at home. Pekka Rinne has a lot to do with their success, and while he’s been lit up during this recent road trip, he’s only allowed a single goal in his last two starts on home ice. Rinner leads the league with five shutouts already this season, and four of those have come in Nashville. I expect to see the veteran netminder on top of his game tonight, with his team playing solid defense in front of him.

Take the Preds.

Edmonton Oilers vs. Nashville Predators
Odds: Nashville -171 Over/Under 5 (March 8th 2013)
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ATS Trends:
Predators are 4-1 in their last 5 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game. Predators are 9-3 in their last 12 games following a loss of 3 or more goals. Predators are 12-5 in their last 17 vs. Northwest. Predators are 30-14 in their last 44 home games. Predators are 86-41-4 in their last 131 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Oilers are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss of 3 or more goals. Oilers are 77-160 in their last 237 overall. Oilers are 46-96 in their last 142 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Oilers are 32-71 in their last 103 vs. a team with a losing record. Oilers are 16-36 in their last 52 games playing on 0 days rest.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 6-1-1 in Predators last 8 Friday games. Under is 4-1 in Predators last 5 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game. Under is 11-3-3 in Predators last 17 home games. Under is 17-6-3 in Predators last 26 following a loss of 3 or more goals. Under is 34-13-6 in Predators last 53 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. Under is 6-1 in Oilers last 7 games playing on 0 days rest. Under is 6-1-1 in Oilers last 8 Friday games. Under is 11-2 in Oilers last 13 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 days situation. Under is 17-4-2 in Oilers last 23 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 4-1 in Oilers last 5 road games.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings. Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Nashville. Oilers are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Oilers are 4-9 in the last 13 meetings in Nashville.

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Vancouver Canucks vs. Nashville Predators
Odds: Nashville -104 Over/Under 5 (February 22nd 2013)
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ATS Trends:
Predators are 6-1 in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest. Predators are 12-4 in their last 16 vs. Northwest. Predators are 29-13 in their last 42 home games. Canucks are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a win. Canucks are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. Canucks are 7-2 in their last 9 games playing on 0 days rest. Canucks are 27-10 in their last 37 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation. Canucks are 7-3 in their last 10 overall.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 4-0-1 in Predators last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 3-0-1 in Predators last 4 games following a win. Under is 6-1-1 in Predators last 8 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 5-1-1 in Predators last 7 Friday games. Under is 10-2-3 in Predators last 15 home games. Under is 3-0-2 in Canucks last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Over is 4-0 in Canucks last 4 overall. Over is 4-0 in Canucks last 4 vs. Western Conference. Under is 4-0-5 in Canucks last 9 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation. Under is 7-1-6 in Canucks last 14 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 days situation.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Canucks are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Nashville. Over is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings. Road team is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.

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NHL Betting Picks: January 19th 2013
Columbus Blue Jackets vs. Nashville Predators
Prediction: Under 5.5
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We have to lay a little extra juice to play at 5.5. However, I feel that price will likely prove worth laying.

Both 2012 meetings between these teams stayed below the total, including a 3-0 final for Nashville on this very day (1/19) last season.

Including that result, the Predators have seen the “under” go 30-15-8 in division play the past couple of seasons. Overall, their games averaged 5.3 goals last season.

Note that most of last year’s meetings between these teams had an O/U line of five, rather than 5.5. However, the final meeting (which finished with exactly five goals) had an O/U line of 5.5. Including that result, the Preds have seen the “under” go 19-14 the last 33 times that they played a home game with an O/U line of 5.5.

Don’t be surprised when those stats improve this evening. Take a look at the Under 5.5

Detroit Red Wings vs. Nashville Predators
Betting Odds: Nashville Predators -125 Over/Under 5 (April 20th 2012)
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ATS Trends:
Predators are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Predators are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
Predators are 5-1 in their last 6 Conference Quarterfinals games.
Predators are 4-1 in their last 5 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Predators are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Red Wings are 7-2 in their last 9 games playing on 2 days rest.
Red Wings are 15-6 in their last 21 Conference Quarterfinals games.
Red Wings are 27-11 in their last 38 Friday games.
Red Wings are 3-11 in their last 14 playoff games as an underdog.
Red Wings are 2-8 in their last 10 games as an underdog.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 1-0-3 in Predators last 4 overall.
Under is 2-0-2 in Predators last 4 games as a home favorite.
Over is 3-0-1 in Predators last 4 playoff games as a favorite of -110 to -150.
Under is 3-0-1 in Predators last 4 Friday games.
Under is 2-0-2 in Predators last 4 home games.
Over is 5-0-2 in Red Wings last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.
Under is 5-0-4 in Red Wings last 9 overall.
Over is 1-0-3 in Red Wings last 4 road games.
Under is 2-0-4 in Red Wings last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 3-0-4 in Red Wings last 7 vs. Western Conference.

Head-to-Head Trends:
Under is 1-0-3 in the last 4 meetings in Nashville.
Under is 4-0-4 in the last 8 meetings.
Underdog is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Road team is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Red Wings are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.

Red Wings Last 5 Games:

Predators Last 5 Games:

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