New Mexico State vs. St. Louis
Point Spread: St. Louis -9 Over/Under 122 (March 21st 2013)
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ATS Trends:
Billikens are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games. Billikens are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. Billikens are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games following a S.U. win. Billikens are 20-5-2 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win. Billikens are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games overall. Aggies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games. Aggies are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Aggies are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. Aggies are 35-17-4 ATS in their last 56 games following a ATS win.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 4-0 in Billikens last 4 overall. Under is 4-0 in Billikens last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 8-2 in Billikens last 10 Thursday games. Under is 4-1-1 in Billikens last 6 games following a S.U. win. Under is 4-1-1 in Billikens last 6 games following a ATS win. Under is 5-0 in Aggies last 5 non-conference games. Over is 5-1-1 in Aggies last 7 games following a ATS win. Over is 4-1 in Aggies last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Over is 3-1-1 in Aggies last 5 Thursday games. Under is 18-7-2 in Aggies last 27 neutral site games.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
No Trends

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Idaho vs. New Mexico State
College Basketball Prediction: New Mexico State -6.5 -110 odds (March 14th 2013)
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New Mexico State has dominated Idaho to the tune of 17-2 SU and 11-7-1 ATS in the last 19 meetings and the Aggies won’t waste any time disposing of the Vandals on Thursday afternoon. NMS owns a money-making 14-4 SU and ATS tournament record (11-1 ATS on the road or at a neutral site) since joining the WAC in 2006 and has walked away with the Championship trophy in 2007, 2010 and 2012!

Idaho brings a soft 12-17 SU record into this post-season battle and enters off a pair of wins over Texas State and Seattle. Considering those two opponents own a combined 8-28 SU league record, those victories really aren’t that impressive. What should be noted is the Vandals 28-10-1 ATS mark in their last 39 priced as an underdog! Respect is given to that mark but it won’t be enough to pull me off State in this contest.

With a 61-30 SU and 44-33-2 ATS record in its last 91 games, New Mexico State is on a roll of its own. A great deal of that profit has come in conference play too where the Aggies hold a rewarding 37-16 SU and 32-20-1 ATS mark. Those two team trends certainly help our cause. But, this next conference tournament system really makes this Best Bet pop.

In conference tournament play, No. 6 seeds that enter off two or more straight up wins are a weak 41-96 SU and 41-75-4 ATS provided they are matched up against a foe that arrives with confidence off two or more straight up wins. If our “play against” No. 6 seed is taking on a No. 3 seed, this post-season situation slips down to a stiff 7-31 SU and 9-23-2 ATS!

Ranked third in the WAC in scoring defense (62.6 ppg) and second in rebounding (+6.6), the Aggies will have no trouble shutting down this inferior Vandals bunch. Watch sophomore guard Daniel Mullings (scored in double-figures 22 times this season) key this victory. Take New Mexico State. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.

2012 New Mexico State Aggies Predictions
Odds to win BCS Championship: 12-1 (Field)
(2011: 4-9 SU, 8-5 ATS). Ret. starters: (Off: 6, Def: 5).

The Aggies return just 11 starters but they key is soph. Andrew Manley (6-3, 225), who averaged 297.3 ypg for three games last season before injuring his knee. They lost RB Kenny Turner (1,074yds) and WR Taveon Rogers (50 for 1048yds), but do return talent at both spots. Robert Clay (5-10, 195) lost his job last year and hopes to gain it back this season. Soph. Austin Franklin (34 for 524yds) will have to lead the receivers. The offensive line has great potential in Ts Davonte Wallace (6-4, 290) and senior Andrew Karsten (6-5, 305). On defense, the Aggies lack playmakers. They also lost their first five tacklers. Senior DE Donte Savage (6-2, 250) returns to help the pass rush. They also add a juco transfer at LB in TraShaun Nixon (6-1, 225) to play the weak side

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2012 Schedule:

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NCAA Tournament Picks
New Mexico State vs. Indiana
Prediction: Indiana -6.5 (March 15th 2012)
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Indiana is a bit ‘under the radar’ heading into the NCAA Tournament. The biggest reason for that is a season-ending injury to guard Verdell Jones III, who is a solid player for them, but not one they are going to miss all that much. Jones is 7th on the team in scoring.

New Mexico State was able to win the WAC Tournament just to get into the big dance. While this is a solid mid-major, the Aggies aren’t on the same level as Indiana talent-wise. NMSU lost twice to Southern Miss out of conference early in the year. The Aggies have just one win all year over a NCAA Tournament team.

NMSU is 1-7 ATS after playing 4 consecutive games as favorite this season. Indiana is 17-9 ATS in all games this season. The Hoosiers are a perfect 7-0 ATS in non-conference games this year. The Aggies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NMSU is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5. Bet Indiana Thursday.

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Indiana vs. New Mexico State
Point Spread: Indiana -5.5 Over/Under 154 (March 15th 2012)
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ATS  Betting Trends:
Hoosiers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Hoosiers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite.
Hoosiers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.
Hoosiers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Hoosiers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Aggies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Aggies are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Aggies are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 neutral site games.
Aggies are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.

Over/Under Betting Trends:
Over is 6-1 in Hoosiers last 7 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.
Under is 4-1 in Hoosiers last 5 neutral site games.
Under is 9-3 in Hoosiers last 12 neutral site games as a favorite.
Over is 6-2 in Hoosiers last 8 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite.
Under is 3-1-1 in Hoosiers last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 8-1 in Aggies last 9 Thursday games.
Under is 7-2 in Aggies last 9 neutral site games as an underdog.
Over is 5-2 in Aggies last 7 non-conference games.
Under is 5-2 in Aggies last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 10-4-1 in Aggies last 15 neutral site games.

Head-to-Head Betting Trends:
No Trends

Indiana Last 5 Games:

New Mexico State Last 5 Games:

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New Mexico State vs. Ohio
Prediction: Under 54 (September 3rd 2011)

Ohio Coach Frank Solich likes to run the football and they will have to this season with QBs Tyler Tettleton and Phil Bates stepping in. Neither has much playing experience on an offense that averaged only 162-yards passing per game last season. The running game by committee is deep, anchored by Donte Harden, Ryan Boykin and Dallas Brown on a unit that averaged 27.5 points and 163.5 yds rushing. The offensive line will be the strength of the team as all five starters return led by 1st team All-Mac Joe Flading and A.J. Strum. New Mexico State is off a 2-10 season averaging just 15.7 ppg. The defense returns its best players. Don’t look for a lot of offense (the Under is 11-5 in Bobcats last 16 games as a favorite). Play Ohio/New Mexico State Under the total. Get more college football picks from Jim Feist at Touthouse.com

2011 New Mexico State Aggies Predictions
BCS Championship Odds: n/a
WAC Championship Odds: 33-1
2010 overall record 2-10, conference record 1-7. Ret. Starters: 16 (Off: 9, Def: 7)
2010 ATS record: 4-8 Fave: 0-1; Dog: 4-7; Neu: 0-0.
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The Aggies need some offensive spark so they hired Doug Martin, a former head coach at Kent State, to take over as off. coordinator. This program has never won more than two league games in six years in the WAC. They’ll need to find a QB between senior Matt Christian (6-3, 211) or soph. Andrew Manley (6-3, 225). They ranked 117th last year in scoring offense and 112th in total offense. so something needs to change. The O-line returns intact and RB Kenny Tuner (5-10, 182) is back after rushing for 461yds with 2 TDs. The top two receivers are gone though senior Taveon Rogers (6-0, 181) returns after making the second-team All-WAC as KR (27.1ypr) and receiver (18 for 278yds). The defense returns their top five tacklers. They do lose top CB Davon House (57tckls, 2INTs) to the NFL. They do return 3 of the top 4 D-linemen. Junior WLB BJ Adolpho (5-11, 207) is back after recording 77 tackles and amassing two sacks. The non-conf. schedule features Ohio U and UTEP at home with Minnesota, New Mexico, Georgia and BYU on the road.

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