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Posts Tagged ‘Oakland Raiders Predictions’

Raiders vs. Browns Week 8 NFL Pick from Jimmy Boyd: October 26th 2014

RAIDERS VS. BROWNS WEEK 8 NFL PICK OCTOBER 26TH 2014

Oakland Raiders vs. Cleveland Browns
Week 8 NFL Pick: Oakland Raiders +7 (October 26th 2014)
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There’s definitely some value on Oakland in this matchup. Prior to the season the Browns were expected to be a 4.5-point favorite. Now we see them laying a touchdown following an ugly 6-24 loss at Jacksonville last week. Sure the Browns whooped up on the Steelers a couple weeks back, but their other two wins have come by a combined 3 points and one of those they had to rally from a 25-point deficit. Cleveland is a lot closer to a 1-5 team than what most people think and it’s a big reason why I’m taking this awful Oakland team getting a touchdown.

The Raiders have shown some life since returning from their Week 5 bye, which also was when they fired head coach Dennis Allen and promoted Tony Sporano to interim head coach. They gave the Chargers all they could handle in a 28-31 loss in Week 6 and this past Sunday lost by a final of just 13-24 to the now 5-1 Cardinals.

One of the big reasons why I like the Raiders to at least keep this one close enough to cover, is the Browns have not been good defensively. Which is a surprise, considering most thought that would be their strength this season. Cleveland comes in ranked 17th against the pass (241.5 ypg) and are dead last against the run (155.5 ypg). Even though Oakland is dead last in rushing (69.3 ypg), there’s reason to be optimistic that they will have some success on the ground against Cleveland. The Browns gave up 185 yards and 2 scores to Jacksonville last week, who even after that performance comes into this week ranked 30th in the league in rushing at 86.0 ypg.

I also have some major concerns with the Cleveland offense, which looked lost in their first game without starting center Alex Mack. Brian Hoyer completed just 16 of 41 attempts for 215 yards and was sacked 3 times, while the Browns rushing attack accounted for just 69 yards on 30 attempts (2.3 yards/carry). Oakland isn’t a defensive juggernaut by any stretch of the imagination, but neither is Jacksonville. If the offense struggles like it did against the Jaguars, forget the cover, the Raiders could be looking at their first win of the season.

There’s a strong system in play favoring a fade of the Browns. Home favorites who are allowing 130+ rushing yards/game after a contest where they were outrushed by 75 or more yards are just 89-144 ATS since 1983. That’s a 72% system in favor of the Raiders. Take Oakland!

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Oakland vs. Cleveland Week 8 NFL Pick & Point Spread: October 26th 2014

RAIDERS VS. BROWNS WEEK 8 SPREAD PICK OCTOBER 26TH 2014Oakland Raiders vs. Cleveland Browns
Week 8 Point Spread: Cleveland -7 Over/Under 43 (October 26th 2014)
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ATS Trends:
Browns are 3-0-2 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points. Browns are 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Browns are 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 games on grass. Browns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 8. Browns are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 8. Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home. Raiders are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss. Raiders are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games. Raiders are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 6-1 in Browns last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Over is 4-1 in Browns last 5 home games. Over is 4-1 in Browns last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Browns last 5 games in Week 8. Over is 4-1 in Browns last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points. Over is 4-0 in Raiders last 4 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Under is 4-0 in Raiders last 4 games in Week 8. Under is 6-1 in Raiders last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home. Under is 22-8 in Raiders last 30 games in October. Under is 11-5 in Raiders last 16 games following a ATS loss.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Raiders are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

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Week 8 NFL Picks: Raiders vs. Browns Prediction from AAA Sports: October 26th 2014

RAIDERS VS. BROWNS WEEK 8 NFL PICK OCTOBER 26TH 2014Oakland Raiders vs. Cleveland Browns
Week 8 NFL Pick: Oakland +7 (October 26th 2014)
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The 0-6 Oakland Raiders are in Cleveland to take on the 3-3 Browns. Both teams are coming off losses. After losing 31-28 to the Chargers two weeks ago, Oakland would fall 24-13 at home to the Cardinals last week. It’s the worst start to a season for the Raiders since losing their first 13 games in 1962: “This is as bad as you’re going to get through the first part of the season,” safety Charles Woodson remarked after the loss to Arizona. “We haven’t won a game. How much worse can it get than that, than not winning a game?” Rookie QB Derek Carr has looked brilliant at times and pretty ordinary in others so far this year, he had four TD’s in the loss to the Chargers, but finished just 16 for 28 for 173 yards vs. the tough Cardinals defense. Carr though catches a break this week in playing against a Cleveland Browns unit which ranks 23rd in opposing passing yards. After a big 31-10 win over rival Pittsburgh, the Browns looked disastrous in last week’s 24-6 setback at Jacksonville. Cleveland settled for field goals in two trips inside the 20-yard line and failed to convert on fourth-and-1 at the 24. The Browns entered the weekend with the third best rushing attack, but looked anemic, 30 attempts for 69 total yards in the end. Despite the Raiders being winless this year, I believe these teams are moving in opposite diretions right now. Oakland has performed well vs. two playoff bound teams over the last two weekends, Cleveland continues to do what it does best and that is to show a ton of inconsistency from game to game. I think “sprinkling a little” on the money line isn’t a bad idea here either; consider a second look at the visitors in this one.

Cardinals vs. Raiders Week 7 Football Pick & Point Spread: October 19th 2014

CARDINALS VS. RAIDERS WEEK 7 SPREAD PICK OCTOBER 19TH 2014Arizona Cardinals vs. Oakland Raiders
Week 7 Point Spread: Arizona -3 Over/Under 44 (October 19th 2014)
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ATS Trends:
Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Raiders are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Raiders are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss. Raiders are 2-6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Raiders are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS win. Cardinals are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win. Cardinals are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Cardinals are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Cardinals are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall. Cardinals are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 10-3-1 in Raiders last 14 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Over is 6-2-1 in Raiders last 9 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Over is 6-2-1 in Raiders last 9 games on grass. Over is 8-3 in Raiders last 11 games following a S.U. loss. Under is 21-8 in Raiders last 29 games in October. Under is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 games in October. Under is 9-4 in Cardinals last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

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Chargers vs. Raiders Week 6 Football Pick & Point Spread: October 12th 2014

CHARGERS VS. RAIDERS WEEK 6 POINT SPREAD PICK OCTOBER 12TH 2014San Diego Chargers vs. Oakland Raiders
Week 6 Point Spread: San Diego -7 Over/Under 43 (October 12th 2014)
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ATS Trends:
Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 6. Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. Raiders are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss. Raiders are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games in October. Raiders are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Chargers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC. Chargers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on grass. Chargers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC West. Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 6-0 in Raiders last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home. Under is 15-1 in Raiders last 16 games in Week 6. Under is 6-1 in Raiders last 7 games following a bye week. Under is 10-2-1 in Raiders last 13 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Over is 4-1-1 in Raiders last 6 home games. Under is 11-4 in Chargers last 15 games in Week 6. Over is 19-7 in Chargers last 26 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Over is 19-7-1 in Chargers last 27 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Under is 5-2 in Chargers last 7 games overall. Under is 5-2 in Chargers last 7 vs. AFC West.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Chargers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Oakland. Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Oakland. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Chargers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings. Road team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Underdog is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

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Dolphins vs. Raiders Week 4 NFL Pick & Point Spread from Scott Spreitzer: September 28th 2014

DOLPHINS VS. RAIDERS WEEK 4 PREDICTION SPREAD SEPTEMBER 28TH 2014Miami Dolphins vs. Oakland Raiders
Week 4 NFL Pick: Oakland Raiders +4 point spread (September 28th 2014)
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Scott Spreitzer looks to rock the books with his NFC SMACKDOWN GAME OF THE YEAR! Scott’s side is backed by combined spots on a 33-7 winning run! And Scott’s on a 15-2, 88% winning NFL Smackdown run! Grab the GOY!

I’m recommending a play on the Oakland Raiders, plus the points on Sunday. Ryan Tannehill and the Dolphins’ offense are struggling badly. Tannehill is averaging the lowest amount of yards per pass of any NFL starter so far this season. They can’t go deep and doing nothing but dinking-and-dunking is not the way to get the job done in the NFL. You have to be able to test deep waters and stretch defenses, but the Dolphins have been unable to do so. The Raider defense has played well against the pass, ranked 4th in the league, making Miami’s chances of turning things around this week unlikely. Oakland contained the Patriots’ offense, holding them to 4.2 yards per play in last week’s 16-9 loss after having been within 1 point of the Pats early in the fourth quarter. Miami allowed 34 points in a 19-point home loss to KC last week and they have not rebounded well, going 0-5 ATS after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. With the turmoil at QB and decent defensive play from Oakland, we expect the Raiders to give the Dolphins more than they can handle. I’m recommending a play on the Raiders, plus the points on Sunday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

Oakland vs. New England Week 3 NFL Point Spread & Pick: September 21st 2014

Oakland Raiders vs. New England Patriots
Point Spread: New England -14 Over/Under 46 (September 21st 2014)
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ATS Trends:
Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf. Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Patriots are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Patriots are 23-7-2 ATS in their last 32 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Raiders are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 3. Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf. Raiders are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Raiders are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 16-5 in Patriots last 21 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Over is 19-7 in Patriots last 26 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 16-6 in Patriots last 22 games following a SU win of more than 14 points. Over is 8-3 in Patriots last 11 games in Week 3. Over is 37-14 in Patriots last 51 games on fieldturf. Under is 6-0 in Raiders last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home. Over is 4-0 in Raiders last 4 games in Week 3. Under is 5-1 in Raiders last 6 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Raiders last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Over is 6-2 in Raiders last 8 games following a S.U. loss.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

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Houston Texans vs. Oakland Raiders Week 2 NFL Pick from Jack Jones: September 14th 2014

TEXANS VS. RAIDERS WEEK 2 NFL PICK SEPTEMBER 14TH 2014Houston Texans vs. Oakland Raiders
Week 2 NFL Pick: Houston -3 (September 14th 2014)
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I am big on the Houston Texans (1-0) to bounce back this season. They were a Super Bowl contender in 2011 and 2012 and won playoff games both seasons. They came into last year as a Super Bowl contender as well, but had everything possible go against them and were nowhere near as bad as their 2-14 record would indicate. I actually have the Texans winning the AFC South this year, which is how good I believe they can be.

After finishing 1st in the league in total defense in 2012, the Texans finished 7th in that category last year in spite of their 2-14 record. I look for them to contend for the top spot in total defense again in 2014. J.J. Watt is the best defensive player in the league, Brian Cushing is back healthy, and they have two shutdown corners on the outside. Jadeveon Clowney will be a beast when he’s returns from a brief injury.

The Texans are off to a good start by limiting the Washington Redskins to just six points in a 17-6 victory in Week 1. All they gave up were short passes by Robert Griffin III, whose average throw sailed just 4.4 yards down the field. They limited the big plays against a good offense. Now, the Texans will be up against one of the worst offenses in the league in the Oakland Raiders.

Indeed, the Raiders were atrocious on this side of the ball against the Jets. This game was nowhere near as close as the 14-19 final would indicate as the Raiders got a late touchdown in garbage time to make it appear close. The fact of the matter is that this team was outgained by a whopping 244 total yards in the loss. The offense mustered up just 158 total yards, while the defense surrendered 402, including 212 on the ground.

I wasn’t completely impressed with Houston’s offense against Washington, but it wasn’t ask to do too much as its defense was dominating. It was nice to see Arian Foster healthy as he rushed for 103 yards to help put the game away. If the Raiders gave up 212 to the Jets last week, I believe Foster could be in for one of the best games of his career on the ground Sunday.

Plays against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OAKLAND) – off a road loss, in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with two or more straight losses are 49-19 (72.1%) ATS since 1983. The Raiders are 23-39 ATS in their last 49 games as a home underdog. Oakland is 3-10-1 ATS in its last 14 games following an ATS win. Bet the Texans Sunday.

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Raiders vs. Jets Week 1 NFL Point Spread & Prediction: September 7th 2014

RAIDERS VS. JETS WEEK 1 PREDICTION 2014The Oakland Raiders (4-12 SU, 7-8-1 ATS) enter the Derek Carr era in a battle of young quarterbacks. The New York Jets (8-8 SU, 9-6-1 ATS) know how tough it can be when you start a rookie quarterback. Geno Smith will try and improve in his second season for the Jets. Oakland travels to MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, N.J. at 1pmET on Sunday.

Week 1 NFL Point Spread: The New York Jets opened as a 4.5-point betting odds favorite and move dto 5.5 in most books. The total opened at 39.5 and moved to 40 in most books.

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The Oakland Raiders signed Matt Schaub in the offseason, hoping that he would start at quarterback until second-round pick Derek Carr was ready to play. Instead, Schaub stunk it up in preseason, completed just 51.1% of his passes with no touchdowns.

Carr went 11-for-13 for 143 yards and three touchdowns in the preseason finale against Seattle’s backups. That was enough for Denis Allen to make Carr the starting quarterback. Carr will go up against a very tough fron seven of the Jets, but their secondary is in shambles.

Carr does have some weapons in running backs Darren McFadden and Maurice Jones-Drew along with former Green Bay receiver James Jones, who caught 123 passes for more than 1,600 yards in his last two seasons with the Packers.

Oakland has the NFL’s oldest roester despite having Carr and rookie pass rusher Khalil Mack. That’s because they have players like veteran safety Charles Woodson and former Steelers linebacker LaMarr Woodley.

Oakland also may have issues at quarterback as Tarrell Brown and Carlos Rogers are the new starters at corner.

Rex Ryan is all about defense and he loves to face rookie quarterbacks. The former Baltimore defensive coordinator is 7-1 against rookies and has held them to a 61.1 passer rating, while allowing them to complete less than 50 percent of their pass attempts.

Geno Smith struggled last season as a rookie quarterback but his team did win three of rour games to end the season at 8-8. Smith played better in preseason, throwing for 268 yards on 23 of 33 with one TD and one pick (91.5 passer rating).

The addition of big wideout Eric Decker should help as he caught 87 passes for 1,288 yards with 11 TDs for Denver last season.

The secondary is a mess as they released Antonio Cromartie and just cut free agent Dimitri Patterson, who was expected to start but left the team for 48 hours in the final preseason week. Third-round pick Dexter McDougle was lost for the season with an ACL tear.

The starting cornerbacks will be Darrin Walls and Anotnio Allen, so Ryan will need to find a way to get pressure on Carr to take pressure off of the corners.

Week 1 Prediction:
The Jets had to rely on defensive ends Muhammad Wilkerson and Sheldon Richardson to get pressure on Carr. Wilkerson had 10.5 sacks last year and Richardson was the NFL’s defensive rookie of the year last season. The addition of Chris Johnson at running back should help the Jets, but Oakland has the better running game with McFadden and Jones-Drew.

2014 Oakland Raiders Betting Predictions

2014 OAKLAND RAIDERS PREDICTIONS2014 Oakland Raiders Betting Predictions
(2013 record: 4-12 SU, 7-8-1 ATS)
Coach: Denis Allen, third year (8-24 SU, 12-18-2 ATS)

Outlook:
Oakland is back to square one with another new quarterback as Matt Schaub arrives from Houston. He was expected to be anupgrade over Matt McGloin and Terrelle Pryor. Schaub threw 14 interceptions and 10 games and was benched. However, he performed poorly in preseason and the Raiders are going with rookie Derek Carr. The good news is that Oakland gave him a very good weapon in wide receiver James Jones, to team up with youngsters Rod Streater and Denarius Moore.

The key is at left tackle, where the Raiders lost Jared Veldheer in free agency to Arizona. He was coming into his own so this is a big loss. They did pick up two new tackles in Donald Penn and Austin Howard to block for RB Darren McFadden and free agent Maurice Jones-Drew.

On defense, linebackers Nick Roach and Kevin Burnett are aging but are solid. The Raidres went for pass-rushing help as OLB Khalil Mack was an excellent pick and they were fortunate that they dropped to him at number 5. He’s a pass rusher and will be an instant impact player. They also signed DE Justin Tuck and linebacker LaMarr Woodley, two veterans on the decline but can still contribute as situational players. At safety, they re-signed Charles Woodson, who can still play at 37 but they can use a younger player to groom under him.

Prediction:
The Raiders could be better if they can get any kind of quarterback play. At least Carr has some options to throw to and Jones-Drew should be adequate as a compliment to Darren McFadden. However, this is a tough division and it will be another long year.

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