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Posts Tagged ‘Oakland Raiders Predictions’

Dolphins vs. Raiders Week 4 NFL Pick & Point Spread from Scott Spreitzer: September 28th 2014

DOLPHINS VS. RAIDERS WEEK 4 PREDICTION SPREAD SEPTEMBER 28TH 2014Miami Dolphins vs. Oakland Raiders
Week 4 NFL Pick: Oakland Raiders +4 point spread (September 28th 2014)
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Scott Spreitzer looks to rock the books with his NFC SMACKDOWN GAME OF THE YEAR! Scott’s side is backed by combined spots on a 33-7 winning run! And Scott’s on a 15-2, 88% winning NFL Smackdown run! Grab the GOY!

I’m recommending a play on the Oakland Raiders, plus the points on Sunday. Ryan Tannehill and the Dolphins’ offense are struggling badly. Tannehill is averaging the lowest amount of yards per pass of any NFL starter so far this season. They can’t go deep and doing nothing but dinking-and-dunking is not the way to get the job done in the NFL. You have to be able to test deep waters and stretch defenses, but the Dolphins have been unable to do so. The Raider defense has played well against the pass, ranked 4th in the league, making Miami’s chances of turning things around this week unlikely. Oakland contained the Patriots’ offense, holding them to 4.2 yards per play in last week’s 16-9 loss after having been within 1 point of the Pats early in the fourth quarter. Miami allowed 34 points in a 19-point home loss to KC last week and they have not rebounded well, going 0-5 ATS after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. With the turmoil at QB and decent defensive play from Oakland, we expect the Raiders to give the Dolphins more than they can handle. I’m recommending a play on the Raiders, plus the points on Sunday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

Oakland vs. New England Week 3 NFL Point Spread & Pick: September 21st 2014

Oakland Raiders vs. New England Patriots
Point Spread: New England -14 Over/Under 46 (September 21st 2014)
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ATS Trends:
Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf. Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Patriots are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Patriots are 23-7-2 ATS in their last 32 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Raiders are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 3. Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf. Raiders are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Raiders are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 16-5 in Patriots last 21 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Over is 19-7 in Patriots last 26 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 16-6 in Patriots last 22 games following a SU win of more than 14 points. Over is 8-3 in Patriots last 11 games in Week 3. Over is 37-14 in Patriots last 51 games on fieldturf. Under is 6-0 in Raiders last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home. Over is 4-0 in Raiders last 4 games in Week 3. Under is 5-1 in Raiders last 6 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Raiders last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Over is 6-2 in Raiders last 8 games following a S.U. loss.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

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Houston Texans vs. Oakland Raiders Week 2 NFL Pick from Jack Jones: September 14th 2014

TEXANS VS. RAIDERS WEEK 2 NFL PICK SEPTEMBER 14TH 2014Houston Texans vs. Oakland Raiders
Week 2 NFL Pick: Houston -3 (September 14th 2014)
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I am big on the Houston Texans (1-0) to bounce back this season. They were a Super Bowl contender in 2011 and 2012 and won playoff games both seasons. They came into last year as a Super Bowl contender as well, but had everything possible go against them and were nowhere near as bad as their 2-14 record would indicate. I actually have the Texans winning the AFC South this year, which is how good I believe they can be.

After finishing 1st in the league in total defense in 2012, the Texans finished 7th in that category last year in spite of their 2-14 record. I look for them to contend for the top spot in total defense again in 2014. J.J. Watt is the best defensive player in the league, Brian Cushing is back healthy, and they have two shutdown corners on the outside. Jadeveon Clowney will be a beast when he’s returns from a brief injury.

The Texans are off to a good start by limiting the Washington Redskins to just six points in a 17-6 victory in Week 1. All they gave up were short passes by Robert Griffin III, whose average throw sailed just 4.4 yards down the field. They limited the big plays against a good offense. Now, the Texans will be up against one of the worst offenses in the league in the Oakland Raiders.

Indeed, the Raiders were atrocious on this side of the ball against the Jets. This game was nowhere near as close as the 14-19 final would indicate as the Raiders got a late touchdown in garbage time to make it appear close. The fact of the matter is that this team was outgained by a whopping 244 total yards in the loss. The offense mustered up just 158 total yards, while the defense surrendered 402, including 212 on the ground.

I wasn’t completely impressed with Houston’s offense against Washington, but it wasn’t ask to do too much as its defense was dominating. It was nice to see Arian Foster healthy as he rushed for 103 yards to help put the game away. If the Raiders gave up 212 to the Jets last week, I believe Foster could be in for one of the best games of his career on the ground Sunday.

Plays against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OAKLAND) – off a road loss, in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with two or more straight losses are 49-19 (72.1%) ATS since 1983. The Raiders are 23-39 ATS in their last 49 games as a home underdog. Oakland is 3-10-1 ATS in its last 14 games following an ATS win. Bet the Texans Sunday.

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Raiders vs. Jets Week 1 NFL Point Spread & Prediction: September 7th 2014

RAIDERS VS. JETS WEEK 1 PREDICTION 2014The Oakland Raiders (4-12 SU, 7-8-1 ATS) enter the Derek Carr era in a battle of young quarterbacks. The New York Jets (8-8 SU, 9-6-1 ATS) know how tough it can be when you start a rookie quarterback. Geno Smith will try and improve in his second season for the Jets. Oakland travels to MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, N.J. at 1pmET on Sunday.

Week 1 NFL Point Spread: The New York Jets opened as a 4.5-point betting odds favorite and move dto 5.5 in most books. The total opened at 39.5 and moved to 40 in most books.

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The Oakland Raiders signed Matt Schaub in the offseason, hoping that he would start at quarterback until second-round pick Derek Carr was ready to play. Instead, Schaub stunk it up in preseason, completed just 51.1% of his passes with no touchdowns.

Carr went 11-for-13 for 143 yards and three touchdowns in the preseason finale against Seattle’s backups. That was enough for Denis Allen to make Carr the starting quarterback. Carr will go up against a very tough fron seven of the Jets, but their secondary is in shambles.

Carr does have some weapons in running backs Darren McFadden and Maurice Jones-Drew along with former Green Bay receiver James Jones, who caught 123 passes for more than 1,600 yards in his last two seasons with the Packers.

Oakland has the NFL’s oldest roester despite having Carr and rookie pass rusher Khalil Mack. That’s because they have players like veteran safety Charles Woodson and former Steelers linebacker LaMarr Woodley.

Oakland also may have issues at quarterback as Tarrell Brown and Carlos Rogers are the new starters at corner.

Rex Ryan is all about defense and he loves to face rookie quarterbacks. The former Baltimore defensive coordinator is 7-1 against rookies and has held them to a 61.1 passer rating, while allowing them to complete less than 50 percent of their pass attempts.

Geno Smith struggled last season as a rookie quarterback but his team did win three of rour games to end the season at 8-8. Smith played better in preseason, throwing for 268 yards on 23 of 33 with one TD and one pick (91.5 passer rating).

The addition of big wideout Eric Decker should help as he caught 87 passes for 1,288 yards with 11 TDs for Denver last season.

The secondary is a mess as they released Antonio Cromartie and just cut free agent Dimitri Patterson, who was expected to start but left the team for 48 hours in the final preseason week. Third-round pick Dexter McDougle was lost for the season with an ACL tear.

The starting cornerbacks will be Darrin Walls and Anotnio Allen, so Ryan will need to find a way to get pressure on Carr to take pressure off of the corners.

Week 1 Prediction:
The Jets had to rely on defensive ends Muhammad Wilkerson and Sheldon Richardson to get pressure on Carr. Wilkerson had 10.5 sacks last year and Richardson was the NFL’s defensive rookie of the year last season. The addition of Chris Johnson at running back should help the Jets, but Oakland has the better running game with McFadden and Jones-Drew.

2014 Oakland Raiders Betting Predictions

2014 OAKLAND RAIDERS PREDICTIONS2014 Oakland Raiders Betting Predictions
(2013 record: 4-12 SU, 7-8-1 ATS)
Coach: Denis Allen, third year (8-24 SU, 12-18-2 ATS)

Outlook:
Oakland is back to square one with another new quarterback as Matt Schaub arrives from Houston. He was expected to be anupgrade over Matt McGloin and Terrelle Pryor. Schaub threw 14 interceptions and 10 games and was benched. However, he performed poorly in preseason and the Raiders are going with rookie Derek Carr. The good news is that Oakland gave him a very good weapon in wide receiver James Jones, to team up with youngsters Rod Streater and Denarius Moore.

The key is at left tackle, where the Raiders lost Jared Veldheer in free agency to Arizona. He was coming into his own so this is a big loss. They did pick up two new tackles in Donald Penn and Austin Howard to block for RB Darren McFadden and free agent Maurice Jones-Drew.

On defense, linebackers Nick Roach and Kevin Burnett are aging but are solid. The Raidres went for pass-rushing help as OLB Khalil Mack was an excellent pick and they were fortunate that they dropped to him at number 5. He’s a pass rusher and will be an instant impact player. They also signed DE Justin Tuck and linebacker LaMarr Woodley, two veterans on the decline but can still contribute as situational players. At safety, they re-signed Charles Woodson, who can still play at 37 but they can use a younger player to groom under him.

Prediction:
The Raiders could be better if they can get any kind of quarterback play. At least Carr has some options to throw to and Jones-Drew should be adequate as a compliment to Darren McFadden. However, this is a tough division and it will be another long year.

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Oakland Raiders vs. Green Bay Packers Preseason Point Spread & Pick: August 22nd 2014

RAIDERS VS. PACKERS PRESEASON PICK SPREADThe Oakland Raiders (2013: 4-12 SU, 7-8-1 ATS; 2014: 1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS) had an offensive explosion last week, even though most of it came in the second half of their 27-26 win over Detroit. The Green Bay Packers (2013: 8-8-1 SU, 7-9-1 ATS, 2014: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS) won their first game last week, beating up on St. Louis, 21-7 on the road. On Friday night, the Packers host the Raiders from Lambeau Field at 8pmET in Green Bay.

Preseason Point Spread: Green Bay opened as a 6-point betting odds favorite and moved to 7 in most books. The total opened at 43. 5and moved to 44.

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The Green Bay Packers had most of their full arsenal of talent last week but scored just 21 points overall and 10 in the first half. Aaron Rodgers, Jordy Nelson and Eddie Lacy were all back against the Rams. Lacy returned to carry the ball five times for 25 yards and had two receptions for 22 yards. Nelson didn’t catch a pass but had a touchdown called back due to a penalty.

Rodgers should play about a half in this game, but the bigger decision for head coach Mike McCarthy is finding a backup quarterback. That’s extremely important considering Rodgers was hurt about half the season last year and the Packers fell apart.

Matt Flynn has generated 191 yards, 12 first down and 18 points in the first two games over eight series. Scott Tolzien has generated 299 yards, 16 first downs but only six points in eight series.

The defense allowed 26.8 points per game and 247.2 yards per game in the air (24th) last season. The Packers added defensive end Julius Peppers to complement Clay Matthews on the edge. They also drafted rookie safety Ha Ha Clinton-Dix to upgrade the back end of the defense. They allowed just seven points against the Rams last week and just a little over 200 total yards.

While the main talk has been about quarterbacks, Oakland still has a problem with their defense. Case in point? Their first-string defense has allowed opposing quarterbacks a passer rating of 145.3, two touchdowns, 14 of 16 for 150 yards and no interceptions.

Oakland allowed 28.3 points per game and 363.7 yards per game overall. Their pass defense was awful last season as they allowed 256 yards per game (28th) so the pass rush should help alleviate the issues in the secondary.

Last week, they gave up 13 points in the first quarter to Matthew Stafford and Detroit. That was without star wide receiver Calvin Johnson as cornerback Tarell Brown was burned by Golden Tate for a 28-yard touchdown.

Quarterback Matt Schaub completed 8 for 13 with an interception in two series before being removed. In the first game, he completed just 3-of-7 for 21 yards in his debut against Minnesota last Friday.

Backup quarterback Matt McGloin was 7 of 15 for 114 yards, while Brice Butler caught four passes for 74 yards.
Rookie quarterback Derek Carr suffered a concussion during the game, leaving with under six minutes left after taking a shot from Detroit’s Larry Webster on a pass attempt.

Carr is listed as the second quarterback behind Schaub in the depth chart and probably won’t play this week.

Oakland Raiders vs. Detroit Lions Preseason Point Spread & Pick: August 15th 2014

RAIDERS VS. LIONS PRESEASON PICK POINT SPREADDetroit (2013: 7-9 SU, 6-10 ATS) needed a late drive to edge Cleveland in an unimpressive, 13-12 home win to start preseason. The Oakland Raiders (2013: 4-12 SU, 7-8-1 ATS) opened with a 10-6 loss at Minnesota as their offense was non-existent. Detroit visits Ford Field O.co Coliseum in Oakland to take on the Raiders on Friday at 10pmET

Preseason Point Spread: Detroit opened as a 2.5-point betting odds favorite and moved to Oakland 2.5 in most books. The total opened at 37 and moved to 39.5 in most books.

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The Lions struggled to score against Cleveland in their opener as they fumbled twice in the third quarter before Kellen Moore found Corey Fuller in the left corner of the end zone for the 13-12 lead with 1:05 to play. Detroit sealed the game with an interception of Tyler Thigpen.

Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford played just one series and led the Lions to a 37-yard field goal from Nate Freese. Stafford ranked third in the NFL in passing yards in 2013 and the Lions had the sixth-ranked total offense (392.1 yards per game).

Expect Stafford to play more along with new receiver Golden Tate along with rookie tight end Eric Ebron, who has had issues in camp with dropped passes. Calvin Johnson is coming off another big season with 84 catches for 1,492 yards and 12 TDs, despite being hampered by a knee injury. He sat out the first game and may not play the second game.

Defensively, Detroit allowed 23.5 points per game (15th) and just 99.8 yards per game (6th) against the run. However, they struggled against the pass, allowing 246.9 (32rd) yards per game in the air.

They held Cleveland to just 89 yards on 28 carries and 193 passing yards while forcing two turnovers.

New defensive coordinator Teryl Austin will have a new safeties in James Ihedigbo and Louis Delmas. They have a dominant front four led by Ndamukong Suh and DT Nick Fairley. They still have some issues at cornerback and could use a boost from Darrius Slay.

Matt Schaub completed just 3-of-7 for 21 yards in his debut against Minnesota last Friday. Maurice Jones-Drew added just 10 yard rushing on two carries and caught two passes for 14 yards in his debut.

The Raiders’ only score came when third-string quarterback Matt McGloin ran in for a 10-yard touchdown in the final minutes of the fourth quarter.

Schaub is now 33 and was benched last year in Houston. He threw for over 4,000 yards in 2012 but hasn’t looked the same in over a year. He did play well in recent practices against the Cowboys, who may have the worst defense in the NFL-by far.

Oakland has had a pretty good camp with few key injuries, which is a good thing. The Raiders have had back-to-back 4-12 seasons so they hope that Schaub’s presence will at least make the competitive.

Oakland added wide receiver James Jones, running back Jones-Drew and offensive linemen Austin Howard and Kevin Boothe to an offense that scored just 20.1 points per game and passed for only 208.8 yards per game.

Defensively, the Raiders should be much-improved with the additions of rookie pass rusher Khalil Mack along with veterans Justin Tuck, Antonio Smith and LaMarr Woodley.

Oakland allowed 28.3 points per game and 363.7 yards per game overall. Their pass defense was awful last season as they allowed 256 yards per game (28th) so the pass rush should help alleviate the issues in the secondary.

Broncos vs. Raiders Week 17 NFL Point Spread & Prediction: December 29th 2013

Denver Broncos vs. Oakland Raiders
Point Spread: Denver -11 Over/Under 53 (December 29th 2013)
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ATS Trends:
Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 17. Raiders are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss. Raiders are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. loss. Raiders are 17-36-1 ATS in their last 54 games in December. Broncos are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC. Broncos are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games. Broncos are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 17.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 3-1-1 in Raiders last 5 vs. AFC. Over is 6-2 in Raiders last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 8-3 in Raiders last 11 vs. AFC West. Over is 7-3 in Raiders last 10 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 9-4 in Raiders last 13 games following a ATS loss. Over is 4-0-1 in Broncos last 5 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Over is 10-2-1 in Broncos last 13 games following a SU win of more than 14 points. Over is 12-3-1 in Broncos last 16 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Over is 16-4-1 in Broncos last 21 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Over is 4-1-2 in Broncos last 7 games in Week 17.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Broncos are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Oakland. Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings. Road team is 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

ATS RECORDS
OVERALL SU W/L OVERALL HOME AWAY GRASS TURF CONF.
BRONCOS 12-3 7-1 5-2 10-1 0-0 8-3
RAIDERS 4-11 3-4 1-7 4-7 0-0 4-7
ATS VS. CLOSING LINE OVERALL HOME AWAY GRASS TURF CONF.
DEN 9-5-1 5-2-1 4-3-0 8-2-1 0-0-0 6-4-1
OAK 7-7-1 3-4-0 4-3-1 4-6-1 0-0-0 5-5-1
ATS VS. OPENING LINE OVERALL HOME AWAY GRASS TURF CONF.
DEN 10-5-0 6-2-0 4-3-0 9-2-0 0-0-0 7-4-0
OAK 7-8-0 3-4-0 4-4-0 4-7-0 0-0-0 5-6-0

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Week 17 NFL Picks from Jesse Schule: Broncos vs. Raiders Prediction: December 29th 2013

Jesse Schule - Week 17 NFL PickWeek 17 NFL Picks: December 29th 2013
Denver Broncos vs. Oakland Raiders
Prediction: Under 53.5 -110 odds
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The Broncos led by just three points heading into the fourth quarter of last week’s game on the road in Houston, but went on to score 21 unanswered points in the final period. Denver will wrap up the season on the road in Oakland, and the Broncos need a win to lock up top spot in the AFC.

The Raiders have made the controversial decision to start Terrelle Pryor at quarterback in the season finale, after he lost the starting job to Matt McGloin. The move doesn’t sit well with Pryor’s agent, who says the team is putting his client in a position to fail.

Pryor has been picked off six times, without throwing for a single touchdown in his last five appearances. He’s been dangerous with his legs, but Denver’s defense has been good against the run all year. They held RGIII to just seven yards on five carries, and earlier in the season they roughed up Mike Vick in 52-20 victory over the Eagles.

The Broncos will be without Von Miller on defense, but remember he didn’t play while serving a suspension through the first five games of the season.

Injuries on offense might be a bigger concern, with Welker still suffering from a concussion and a banged up offensive line. Oakland did well last week, limiting Phillip Rivers to just 201 yards with one TD and an INT.

We’ve seen the total go under in two of the last three meetings between these two teams, and the number for this game is way higher than it was in any of those previous contests.

Expect Manning to rest in the fourth quarter if Denver has a big lead, and I wouldn’t be too optimistic about Oakland scoring a lot of points here.

Take the Under.

Raiders vs. Chargers Week 16 NFL Point Spread & Prediction: December 22nd 2013

Oakland Raiders vs. San Diego Chargers
Point Spread: San Diego -10 Over/Under 50 (December 22nd 2013)
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ATS Trends:
Chargers are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win. Chargers are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win. Chargers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Chargers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Raiders are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a double-digit loss at home. Raiders are 17-35-1 ATS in their last 53 games in December. Raiders are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 16. Raiders are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Raiders are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 8-1 in Chargers last 9 vs. AFC. Under is 5-1 in Chargers last 6 games following a S.U. win. Under is 5-1 in Chargers last 6 games following a ATS win. Over is 4-1 in Chargers last 5 games in Week 16. Over is 4-1 in Chargers last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 8-2-1 in Raiders last 11 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Raiders last 5 games in Week 16. Over is 6-2 in Raiders last 8 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Under is 5-2 in Raiders last 7 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 7-3 in Raiders last 10 vs. AFC West.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in San Diego. Under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings in San Diego. Raiders are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings. Road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Underdog is 9-0 ATS in their last 9 meetings.

SAN DIEGO LAST 5 YARDS PER PLAY
DATE VS. SCORE LINE O/U TOT RUSH PASS TOT RUSH PASS
12/12/13 @DEN W 27-20 W 10 U 56.5 42 159 -117 -0.4 2.4 1.2
12/08/13 NYG W 37-14 W -4 O 47 55 52 3 -0.7 -1.0 1.2
12/01/13 CIN L 10-17 L 2.5 U 48.5 -20 -73 53 -0.3 -0.5 -1.7
11/24/13 @KC W 41-38 W 3.5 O 43 96 -10 106 0.4 -2.5 2.5
11/17/13 @MIA L 16-20 L -2.5 U 44.5 92 50 42 0.9 0.4 1.4
OAKLAND LAST 5 YARDS PER PLAY
DATE VS. SCORE LINE O/U TOT RUSH PASS TOT RUSH PASS
12/15/13 KC L 31-56 L 6.5 O 44 77 52 25 -1.6 0.7 -4.2
12/08/13 @NYJ L 27-37 L 3 O 39 31 7 24 0.0 1.3 -1.9
11/28/13 @DAL L 24-31 W 10 O 49.5 -47 -94 47 -0.1 -2.8 2.0
11/24/13 TEN L 19-23 L 2.5 P 42 -73 -21 -52 0.4 0.1 0.7
11/17/13 @HOU W 28-23 W 10.5 O 41 -53 75 -128 -0.2 1.0 -0.7

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