New York Giants vs. Oakland Raiders
Betting Pick: Oakland +7.5 -110 odds (November 10th 2013)
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The Giants are certainly getting a lot of respect from oddsmakers this week. That’s hard to believe for a 2-6 team that has been blown out by 15 or more points in four of their six losses. This line is certainly be an overreaction to the two wins that the Giants have picked up in their last two games. A closer look at those two games shows that they were far less impressive than they appear.
New York’s win over Minnesota was simply given to them. The Vikings were starting quarterback Josh Freeman for the first time on ESPN’s Monday Night Football, and the stage was clearly too big for him. He was absolutely terrible, time after time overthrowing wide open receivers. The Giants only managed 257 total yards in that game.
Then, against Philadelphia, Michael Vick started the game and got hurt. The Eagles have clearly been much better with Nick Foles under center, and they have lost 10 straight home games, so it’s not like that was a very good win for the Giants. They’ll get a much stiffer test from the Oakland Raiders this week.
When you look at the numbers, it appears this is a very evenly-matched game. Oakland has a slight edge on offense, ranking 14th in the league at 345.5 yards per game, while the Giants are 22nd at 327.7 yards per game. New York has a slight edge on the other side of the ball, ranking 14th in total defense at 344.5 yards per game, while the Raiders are 18th at 356.7 yards per game. Yet, oddsmakers are suggesting that the Giants are at least four points better than Oakland on a neutral field with this 7.5-point spread. I’m not buying it.
The Raiders are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games following a S.U. loss. Better yet, they are a perfect 5-0 against the number in their last five games following an ATS loss. The Giants are 18-40-2 against the spread in their last 60 November games, including 1-8 against the number in their last nine games in Week 10. They have a tendency to fall off in the second half of the year. This team still has a done of flaws, and they haven’t magically turned it around despite winning their last two games. Bet the Raiders Sunday.
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