MLB Predictions: June 5th 2013
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants
Pick: Over 7.5 runs -110 odds
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After an early move up to ’8′ we’ve seen this total settle back down to ’7.5′ at most books, a clear reaction to last night’s low-scoring 2-1 game in favor of the Giants. It’s the wrong move, in my opinion.

The Jays were held to a single run last night but entering this series they had been playing fairly consistent offensive ball, having scored at least three runs in 14 straight games. I fully expect to see them get back on track against Barry Zito on Wednesday afternoon, noting that the ball always carries much better in the afternoon sunshine at AT&T Park.

Of course, Toronto has already seen Zito once this season, roughing him up for 12 hits and eight runs (five of them earned) in an eventual 10-6 win at Rogers Centre back on May 14th. Zito was fortunate to hold the A’s to only one earned run over six innings in his most recent outing, issuing a whopping six walks in that start. He needed 117 pitches to get through that outing and I won’t be surprised if that has a bit of a lingering effect this afternoon.

San Francisco hasn’t exactly been lighting up the scoreboard lately, but I do envision the Giants hanging a crooked number on the board today. They’ll face R.A. Dickey, who has been a massive disappointment in his first year with the Jays.

Dickey comes into this start at a low point in his season, having allowed 20 hits and 12 earned runs in 12 2/3 innings of work over his last two starts. The fact that this total is sitting at 7.5 is interesting as his last six outings have reached 9, 9, 16, 12, 11, and 14 total runs. Perhaps the oddsmakers are thinking a return to a National League park will help his cause. I’m not so easily convinced.

The two-game set between these two teams back in mid-May produced 30 runs, and while I’m not expecting an all-out slugfest on Wednesday afternoon, I am confident that we’ll see enough offense to help this one ‘over’ the rather low posted total. Take the over (1*).

Oakland Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants
Baseball Prediction: Giants +102 odds (May 30th 2013)
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The A’s have won six straight games and going back further, they are 11-1 over their last 12 games. This includes winning the first three games of this four-game home-and-home set as they have outscored the Giants 19-10.

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The pitching has led the way during this run as Oakland has allowed three runs or fewer nine times. A.J. Griffin hopes to keep that run going but it won’t be easy. After tossing four straight quality outings, he allowed four runs in 5.2 innings at Houston to increase his ERA to 4.31 on the road. The Giants are 17-5 in their last 22 interleague home games against right-handed starters. San Francisco had won four of six prior to facing Oakland and despite the loss last night, it is 19-10 in its 29 home games this season. Additionally, the Giants have won four straight games following losses in the first three games of a series and they should add to that with Barry Zito on the hill. After a great performance in the postseason last year, he opened this year right where he left off as he tossed two seven inning games of shutout ball in his first two starts. He has regressed since then but most of the damage has been on the road where he has a 10.19 ERA in four starts. Conversely, he is 3-0 with a 1.38 ERA in six home starts with the Giants going 6-0 in those games. Going back further, the Giants are 11-0 in Zito’s last 11 home starts with the total set between 7.0 and 8.5. Play (958) San Francisco Giants

San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers
MLB Prediction: Milwaukee +123 odds (April 18th 2013)
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After an embarrassing arrest on a drunk-driving charge earlier this week, there’s nothing Yovani Gallardo wants to do more than take the mound at Miller Park and redeem himself.

The combination of Gallardo’s slow start and Matt Cain being the opposing hurler has convinced the oddsmaker to open the Giants as solid road favorites. I don’t see it that way.

Gallardo is an ace. He’s off a terrible game against the Cardinals this past Saturday. That’s the one team, though, he really has trouble against. Gallardo is 4-2 with a 1.91 ERA in six starts against San Francisco since 2009. Gallardo is Milwaukee’s ace and one of the best pitchers in the National League. He has recorded four consecutive 200-strikeout seasons, ranking fourth in the majors last year with an average of 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings.

Gallardo is quality and I see him bouncing back strong here against a San Francisco lineup that won’t be starting Buster Posey and Marco Scutaro, both of whom are being given days off. Milwaukee is a great hitting team and is regaining its confidence and swagger by defeating San Francisco during the first two games of this series.

Cain is an elite pitcher, too, but his dominance comes more at home. Cain has struggled at hitter-friendly Miller Park with a 5.94 ERA in five starts. The Giants are 2-8 during Cain’s last 10 road starts when favored between $1.10 and $1.50. The Brewers are 37-15 (71%) in Gallardo’s last 52 home starts.

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Baseball Picks: April 10th 2013
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants
Prediction: San Francisco Giants -134 odds
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On Wednesday, April 10th, the Free MLB baseball pick is on the San Francisco Giants. Game 956 at 3:45 eastern. The Giants go for the sweep here today and they have Barry Zito on the Mound. Zito has won 8 of 10 at home vs Colorado and 7 of his last 8 home starts in April. He will oppose Jeff Francis for Colorado. Francis teams have lost 17 of 18 when he starts in day games of late and he has lost his last 5 Road starts in April. He has also dropped his last 2 here in San Francisco. The Rockies are 37-71 in day games and have lost 30 of the last 44 as a road dog from +125 to +150. The Giants are a long term 65-38 vs left handed pitching and have won 28 of the last 37 vs Colorado. An interesting system that pertain to this one is that road teams like Colorado that are off a road loss that scored 5 or more runs but only managed 4 or less hits have lost 6 of 7 times since 2004, so as we can see that does not happen much. Take the Giants tonight. On Wednesday we have a Solid card going led by the NBA Game of the Month from an undefeated Totals system that averages 217 points. We also have 3 Late Season system sides. Two are perfect and one is 95%. In MLB we cashed Both Top plays on Tuesday. Today we have an MLB Dog system that has won an incredible 13 straight times and a Triple Perfect Dominator Side. Jump on and get on the “Giving End” of Hump day. For the free play take the Giants. RV

MLB Betting Odds: April 8th 2013
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants
Prediction: Colorado +155 odds
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The Colorado Rockies came into the season way undervalued as most people had them picked to finish last in the NL West division. With a healthy Troy Tulowitzki and a dangerous line-up to start the year, they have cruised to a 5-1 start.

In fact, this is one of the best lineups in baseball when Tulo is healthy. They are hitting .333 and scoring 6.5 runs/game thus far on the season, which is a lot better than their counterparts. The Giants are hitting .224 and scoring 2.5 runs/game.

Jorge De La Rosa has dominated the Giants throughout his career. The left-hander is 7-3 with a 2.95 ERA and 1.114 WHIP in 12 career starts against San Francisco.

The Rockies want to make a statement and let the defending World Series champs know that they are a contender in the NL West in 2013. It starts with Game 1 of this series tonight. Bet Colorado Monday. If you found this MLB betting odds prediction between the Rockies and Giants useful, be sure to check out Jack Jones’ premium baseball picks today!

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Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants
Betting Odds: Detroit Tigers -168 Over/Under 6.5 (October 24th 2012)
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Betting Trends:
Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 World Series home games. Giants are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. American League Central. Giants are 9-2 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 home games with the total set at 6.5 or lower. Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 World Series games. Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite. Tigers are 6-0 in their last 6 playoff games as a favorite. Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 overall. Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 playoff games. Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower. Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 home games with the total set at 6.5 or lower. Under is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 5-1 in Giants last 6 games as an underdog of +151 to +200. Under is 5-1 in Giants last 6 during game 1 of a series. Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 interleague games. Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 games as a road favorite. Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 interleague games as a favorite. Under is 6-1-2 in Tigers last 9 road games.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
No Trends

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St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants
Game 7 Betting Pick: Under 7 -110 odds (October 22nd 2012)
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We have seen seven runs or fewer scored in three of the last four games in this series, and I’m expect another low-scoring affair tonight.

The Giants are 11-3 under this season in home games after giving up two runs or less in two straight games. We have only seen an average of 6.1 runs scored in this situation.

The Cardinals are 11-3 under in Kyle Lohse’s 14 starts this season following a start in which he gave up one earned run or none. We have seen an average of just 5.7 runs scored in this situation.

Both Matt Cain and Lohse have sub 3.00 ERA’s. The Giants have combined with their opponent for 7.0 runs or less in four of Cain’s last five starts. The Cardinals have been under this number in each of Lohse’s last two starts. Only four total runs were scored when these two faced off in Game 3. We’ll take the Under.

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