St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers
MLB Baseball Prediction: Milwaukee -104 odds (May 5th 2013)
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The Cardinals have never swept a 4-game series from the Brewers.

These pitchers opposed each other a few weeks ago, at St. Louis. Both pitched well but neither got a decision.
The Cards won that 4/14 game by a score of 4-3. With this afternoon’s rematch being played at Milwaukee, I feel that Estrada and the Brewers have an excellent shot at delivering some payback.

Estrada’s ERA remains mediocre (at best) but a 34/7 K/W ratio (18/3 at home) shows that he’s doing something right. The Brewers are 4-2 (+1.8) when he takes the mound.

Note that Garcia has a 6.84 ERA in five career starts at Miller Park.

Even with their recent skid here, the Brewers are still 120-67 (+33.2) here the past few seasons. While its been a tough series, I expect them to bounce back and avoid the sweep. Consider Milwaukee.

Baseball Predictions: April 22nd 2013
Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Pick: St. Louis Cardinals -105 odds
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The St. Louis Cardinals have a big edge on the mound tonight and should be a heavier favorite over the Washington Nationals because of it. I’ll take advantage and back them at an excellent price Monday.

Shelby Miller is one of the best young starters in the game. He has gone 2-1 with a 1.96 ERA and 0.873 WHIP with 18 strikeouts over 18 1/3 innings in three starts this season.

Dan Haren is clearly washed up and struggling. He had a horrible 2012 campaign in Los Angeles, and it has carried over into 2013. Haren is 1-2 with an 8.10 ERA and 2.026 WHIP through three starts this season.

The Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss. Haren is just 6-11 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. St. Louis is 4-0 in its last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Bet the Cardinals Monday.

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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
MLB Pick: Phillies +110 odds (April 19th 2013)
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The Philadelphia Phillies should not be a home underdog to the St. Louis Cardinals tonight. I’ll take advantage and back them at this price considering you will almost never get Roy Halladay as a home dog.

Sure, Halladay got off to a slow start this season, but he’s undervalued right now as a result. He looked like the Halladay of old last time out when he went 8 innings strong while allowing just 1 earned run to get the win in a 2-1 victory at Miami.

Halladay is 4-3 with a 2.57 ERA and 0.875 WHIP in eight career starts against St. Louis. Jamie Garcia has allowed 7 earned runs over 13 innings while going 0-2 in his last two starts against Philadelphia. He has posted a 4.87 ERA in those two outings.

Halladay is 31-11 (+19.7 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997. The Cardinals are 1-8 in Garcia’s last 9 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. The Phillies are 26-8 in Halladay’s last 34 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Philadelphia is 53-25 in Halladay’s last 78 starts overall. Bet the Phillies Friday.

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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Betting Odds/Line: Arizona -111 Over/Under 9 (April 2nd 2013)
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Betting Trends:
Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 Tuesday games. Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Diamondbacks are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series. Diamondbacks are 14-5 in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Diamondbacks are 9-4 in their last 13 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Cardinals are 6-2 in their last 8 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Cardinals are 8-3 in their last 11 games following a loss. Cardinals are 10-4 in their last 14 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Cardinals are 2-5 in their last 7 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Under is 6-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 overall. Over is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 games as a road underdog. Over is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 games as an underdog. Over is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 road games. Over is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 Tuesday games.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Cardinals are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Arizona. Cardinals are 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.

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MLB Picks: April 2nd 2013
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MLB Pick: Texas Rangers -1.5 -109
Houston is a team that is bound to lose 100 games for the third consecutive season. They pulled off a surprising win last night but their luck has run out already when they face off against Yu Darvish today. Darvish finished 2012 with a 16-9 record and a 3.90 ERA. The Rangers have high hopes for an even better 2013 from Darvish as this young pitcher games more experience.

Houston is 19-62 when playing as an underdog of +150 or more. Texas should be able to take batting practice against the horrible Houston bullpen and they should not have any problems getting runs on the board against Lucas Harrel who finished 2012 with an 11-11 record in 32 starts. If Harrell doesn’t blow this game the Astros bullpen will making the Rangers on the run line a value play. -Jimmy Boyd

MLB Pick: St. Louis Cardinals +112
The Cardinals are showing value in the underdog role with Jaime Garcia on the hill. Dating back to last season, the Cards have won each of the southpaws last 4 starts. It is also worth noting that he is 2-0 lifetime against Arizona with an ERA of 2.45. The Red Birds dropped the first game of the series but are 8-3 in their last 11 games following a loss and have still won 7 of the last 9 meetings, including 4 of the last 5 in Arizona. Take St. Louis. -Dave Price

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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Betting Odds: Arizona -103 Over/Under 8.5 (April 1st 2013)
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Betting Trends:
Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series. Diamondbacks are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. Diamondbacks are 3-7 in their last 10 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Diamondbacks are 2-5 in their last 7 games as an underdog. Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series. Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road favorite. Cardinals are 7-2 in their last 9 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Cardinals are 10-3 in their last 13 games following an off day. Cardinals are 12-4 in their last 16 Monday games.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 games as a home underdog. Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 during game 1 of a series. Under is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 games following an off day. Over is 7-2 in Diamondbacks last 9 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games. Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 games as a favorite. Under is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 during game 1 of a series.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Cardinals are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Arizona. Under is 4-0 in Wainwrights last 4 starts vs. Diamondbacks. Cardinals are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Cardinals are 4-1 in Wainwrights last 5 starts vs. Diamondbacks.

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St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants
Game 7 Betting Pick: Under 7 -110 odds (October 22nd 2012)
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We have seen seven runs or fewer scored in three of the last four games in this series, and I’m expect another low-scoring affair tonight.

The Giants are 11-3 under this season in home games after giving up two runs or less in two straight games. We have only seen an average of 6.1 runs scored in this situation.

The Cardinals are 11-3 under in Kyle Lohse’s 14 starts this season following a start in which he gave up one earned run or none. We have seen an average of just 5.7 runs scored in this situation.

Both Matt Cain and Lohse have sub 3.00 ERA’s. The Giants have combined with their opponent for 7.0 runs or less in four of Cain’s last five starts. The Cardinals have been under this number in each of Lohse’s last two starts. Only four total runs were scored when these two faced off in Game 3. We’ll take the Under.

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Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Betting Prediction: St. Louis Cardinals -101
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The Nationals and Cardinals begin their series in St. Louis on Sunday afternoon. St. Louis sends Adam Wainwright to the mound where he is 14-13 with a 3.94 ERA in 32 starts for the Cardinals. He is 10-6 with a 3.73 ERA at home. He beat the Nationals his last time out after giving up 1 run and five hits in six innings in a 12-2 Cardinals win. Michael Morse (2-8) and Jayson Werth (4-16) have had their problems with Wainwright. Despite the best record in baseball, Washington must start their postseason on the road so we’ll see how the young team handles that.

Gio Gonzalez has been the best pitcher for the Nationals this season. He is 21-8 with a 2.89 ERA in 32 starts for Washington this season. Gonzalez has a 3.31 ERA on the road and a 3.72 ERA in the daytime. St. Louis is hitting .271 against left-handed starters and .265 overall. They have one of the best lineups in baseball against southpaws. The Cardinals are hitting .305 against lefties at home. Washington’s youth may be on display in this game so we’ll recommend taking the home team on Sunday afternoon.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres
Pick: St. Louis Cardinals -115 odds (September 10th 2012)
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Take #913 St. Louis Cardinals over San Diego Padres (10:05pm EST) With only 22 games remaining, it’s time to bear down for the St. Louis Cardinals. The Red Birds are currently holding the second wild card spot in the National League, but the Dodgers and Pirates aren’t far back and every game from here on out is extremely important. The Cardinals showed last season that they get better with more pressure, and that should give them a little extra mental edge as the games grow in magnitude. They start a key 7-game West Coast trip tonight against the San Diego Padres and Jaime Garcia will make the start. He’s coming off one of his better performances of the season in which he pitched 7 1/3 innings allowing no earned runs with five strikeouts and no walks. This will be his fifth start after coming off of the disabled list, and it appears that he’s finally comfortable on the mound again. And when Garcia is right, he has top of the rotation kind of stuff.

Eric Stults is on the other side for the Padres. The left-hander was acquired earlier in the season when San Diego desperately needed a starter to plug a hole in the rotation due to injuries. He doesn’t have great stuff and rarely gets his fastball into the 90’s. He thrives on deception, but a great Cardinals lineup isn’t fooled so easily. St. Louis is first in the league in runs scored and hasn’t missed a beat despite incurring several key injuries throughout the season. Stults has decent numbers, but a lot of that has to do with pitching in Petco Park and the fact that he was in the bullpen for part of the season. I don’t project him very well as a starter and I expect the Cards to knock him out of the game early today. Take St. Louis behind Garcia as they should start out their West Coast trip with a victory tonight.

Houston Astros vs. St. Louis Cardinals
MLB Pick: St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 -145 (August 23rd 2012)
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The Astros have lost 6 in a row, and each of those 6 defeats have come by at least 2 runs. They are just 1-7 in Dallas Keuchel’s last 8 starts, and 6 of those losses came by 2 runs or more. The Cardinals, meanwhile, are 5-1 in Jake Westbrook’s last 6 starts, and each of those 5 victories came by at least 2 runs. The Cards have also won Westbrook’s last 3 starts against the Astros with those 3 wins coming by 2 runs or more. St. Louis have won 4 straight versus Houston, and the last 3 wins have all been by at least 2 runs. Take the Cards on the run line.

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