On Tuesday the MLB Free system play is on the Washington Nationals. Game 902 at 7:05 eastern. The Nationals apply to a solid system that has cashed 14 of 17 times and plays on certain home favorites off a road dog loss by 2 or more runs vs an opponent off a home favored win and scored 5 or more runs. Very simple and very effective. The Nationals are 10-3 with a day off and are scoring 5 runs per game the past week. They have J. Zimmernan going and they have won 7 of his last 9 starts. Florida counters with R. Nolasco and they have lost 12 of his last 15 starts. These two hooked up down in Florida on May 6th with Washington winning that one. Look for them to take game one of the series tonight. On Tuesday the lead play is from a 96% totals system that wins by over 5 runs per game + a 22-4 totals system. Monday card sweeps with both totals cashing over Texas and over St. Louis. Jump on now and cash out on Tuesday as bases stays hot. For the free play take Washington. RV
After losing by a single run in each of the first 3 games of this series, I expect the Cubs to break through with a win this evening. Chicago has the advantage on the mound with Garza, who has been terrific in his last 3 starts with an ERA of 2.53 and a WHIP of 0.750. He hasn’t allowed more than 6 hits in a game since April 15. The Nationals are just 3-9 in Hernandez’s last 12 starts. His 3.57 ERA and 1.641 WHIP over his last 3 starts aren’t nearly as good as the numbers Garza has put up recently. Plus, he has given up more than 6 hits in 10 starts dating back to April 12. History is also in our favor here when you consider that teams with a money line of +125 to -125 that are out to avenge 2 consecutive one run losses to an opponent, provided they are a bad team (38% to 46% win percentage) playing a team with a winning record, are 48-25 since 1997. Take the Cubs.
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We’ll side with the surging Los Angeles Angels Tuesday as they look to gain more ground on the Texas Rangers in the AL West. The Angels try to win for the seventh time in nine games and move over .500 for the first time in 3 1/2 weeks against the Washington Nationals on Tuesday night. This recent run has pulled them within 1 1/2 games of Texas. While Jason Marquis has been solid at home, he has struggled on the road. Marquis is 3-2 with a 4.67 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in nine road starts this year. Joel Pineiro has been steady all season for Los Angeles, going 3-3 with a 3.84 ERA in 11 starts. Marquis is 0-1 with an 18.92 ERA and 3.303 WHIP in one lifetime start versus Los Angeles, while Pineiro sports a 2.70 ERA and 1.170 WHIP in five lifetime starts versus Washington. The Nationals are 7-24 (-16.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons. Washington is 7-25 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in road games revenging a one run loss to opponent over the last 3 seasons. The Angels are 16-4 (+13.2 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 3 seasons. The Nationals are 7-21 in their last 28 interleague road games. The Angels are 60-27 in their last 87 interleague games. Los Angeles is 31-11 in their last 42 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. The Angels are 11-1 in Pineiro’s last 12 starts as a home favorite. Take the Angels on the Money Line.
The Nationals are the hottest team in baseball right now as they’ve won eight straight games. They’ll look for number nine on Sunday when they host rival Baltimore. Washington will get Tom Gorzelanny back off the disabled list. He is 2-4 with a 4.25 ERA in nine starts. He has allowed 13 runs and 24 hits over his last 15.3 innings pitched. Manager Jim Riggleman says he’ll be fortunate to get five or six innings or 90 pitches from his pitcher so we’ll be seeing a hit or miss Nationals’ bullpen; the unit has 10 losses and 13 blown saves. Derrek Lee (7-18) and J.J. Hardy (9-23) hit Gorzelanny well. As a team, Baltimore is hitting right around .300 in their last eight games. The team is also scoring 4 runs per game in the daytime.
Chris Jakubauskas will be making his third start of the season. He has given up 4 runs and 10 hits in 10.3 innings as a starter. Jakubauskas gave up 4 runs to the Blue Jays his last time out in 5.3 innings of work. Washington’s offense is clicking on all cylinders right now scoring over 5 runs per game over their last eight games. They are hitting over .300 in five interleague games this season. Baltimore’s bullpen has been improving, but they still own an ERA over 4.50 on the road. They have six losses and four blown saves as a unit. This game should be a struggle for the pitchers involved so we expect a high-scoring game between the Orioles and Nationals this afternoon.
We’ll side with the Baltimore Orioles Friday fresh off their extra-innings victory over the Toronto Blue Jays last night. This gives them some momentum going into Game 1 of this series with Washington, who are about to have their winning streak come to an end. Baltimore sends their best starter to the mound tonight. Zach Britton is 6-4 with a 3.18 ERA and 1.232 WHIP in 13 starts this year for the Orioles. He allowed just 1 earned run in 6 1/3 innings in his last start, and should have no problem shutting down this weak Nationals lineup. The Orioles have already seen Jason Marquis this season, tagging him for 5 earned runs and 11 base runners in 4 innings on 5/20/2011. Having already faced him once is a huge advantage for Baltimore going into this one, because Britton has never pitched against Washington. Baltimore is 20-11 (+9.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. The Orioles are 7-1 in Britton’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Nationals are 1-6 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. Baltimore is 6-1 in their last 7 interleague games. Take the Orioles on the Money Line.