Tampa Bay Bucs vs. Miami Dolphins
Free NFL Pick: Over 43.5 points -110 odds - NFL point spreads
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Sunshine State rivals get it on Sunday afternoon at Land Shark Stadium where the Tampa Bay Buccaneers look to improve on their first win of the season against the Miami Dolphins. Both teams have matching 5-3 records for ‘over’ bettors on the year, and there are plenty of reasons to believe that that trend will continue in Week 10.

The Bucs’ offense wasn’t always clicking on all cylinders in their first game with QB Josh Freeman under center, but there are plenty of reasons to believe that the future is bright in Tampa Bay. The first round draft pick out of Kansas State only completed 45% of his passes against Green Bay, but he proved that he can throw the deep ball and get out of trouble and scramble when he needs to. Freeman threw for 205 yards and three TDs in his first NFL start, rushing for 20 yards along the way. As proven by a lot of Miami’s games lately, he’ll have the ability to stretch the field and try to make connections with his receivers. The Dolphins’ young secondary should be as easy of a task as Freeman could ask for in his second career outing.

The Tampa Bay defense ranks 30th against the run, allowing 163.4 yards per game, which is awful news considering that the Wildcat is primed and ready to run wild. Last week against New England, Miami unveiled another wrinkle to their arsenal, a straight speed option with QB Pat White and either of his stud running backs, Ricky Williams and Ronnie Brown. There could be even more options thrown into the mix as White becomes more acclimated with the NFL, which could make things very, very dangerous for some big runs on Sunday afternoon. Miami’s problem hasn’t been scoring points of late, that’s for certain. The team has averaged 30.0 points per game since QB Chad Henne took over for the injured QB Chad Pennington.

Even though these squads don’t hook up often, dating back to 1991, three of the L/4 meetings have gone past the number. Twelve of Tampa Bay’s L/14 games against teams with a losing record have eclipsed the ‘total’, as have 11 of its L/15 road games overall. Ten of Miami’s L/13 games following an SU defeat have cashed for ‘over’ bettors as well.

Expect to see the youthful offense of the Bucs step it up a notch again on Sunday and put forth a respectable effort. With as well as the Dolphins’ ‘O’ has been playing, expect to see another big number put up on their side of the scoreboard as well. If the Bucs can reach 20, this should be easy, as the Fins absolutely cannot afford to let their guard down and lose this game if they think that they can still go to the playoffs. Book it!!!

Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers/Miami Dolphins Over