Tampa Bay Bucs vs. Philadelphia Eagles Odds, Pick & Point Spread: October 11th 2009
Tampa Bay Bucs vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Free NFL Pick: Tampa Bay +15.5 -110 odds – point spreads
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I am on one of those runs again having gone 10-3 ATS in the NFL over the past 2 weeks and posting a 34-11 ATS mark in College Football dating back to the beginning of the 2008 bowl season. This past week I won my top rated 15* Titan play on Southern Cal as they destroyed Cal 30-3. The NFL featured a 10* inter Conference winner on the Saints and another 10* Titan Massacre winner on Minnesota. Last season in the MLB playoffs I went 15-5 with many of them significant dogs. My 10* playoff game of the year was on the Phillies at +168 defeating the Dodgers. NHL is off to marvelous start as well having released 6 DOGS to date winning 4 of them.
My Ai Simulator has a 3* graded play on Tampa Bay as they travel to face the Philadelphia Eagles set to start at 1:00 EST. AiS shows a 73% probability that Tampa Bay will lose this game by 12 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that ahs gone 50-21 ATS since 1983. Play against home favorites of 10.5 or more points after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games and is a good team winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season. Now, here is a very simple system that reflects the parity that has dominating NFL play for yeas and years. The system has produced a solid 76-41 ATS mark for 65% winners since 2003. Play on road dogs or pick off a road loss. So, this system reflects poor play one week and in certain cases a complete polar opposite the next.
The fundamentals do show some advantages for TB in this game. Over the first 4 weeks defenses have lined 8 men in the box and simply played run since the now benched Leftwich had difficulty even making the simplest reads and executing pass plays. TB has 3 strong running backs and 2nd year QB Johnson has the arm strength to throw vertical routes with success. The line backer corp of the Eagles are a weak bunch and I strongly believe you will see Tampa pound the ball between the tackles. That in turn sets up easy and well protected play action pass opportunities. This game, believe it or not, will be a whole closer than the line shows. Take Tampa Bay.
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