Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twins
Free MLB Pick: Minnesota Twins -128 odds
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We’re getting a good price with the Twins at home Friday as a slim home favorite over the Texas Rangers. In his last road start, Rangers’ starter Colby Lewis allowed 5 earned runs on 3 hits, 4 walks and 1 home run in 5.2 innings of a 2-5 loss to the Blue Jays. Lewis has started to come back to reality of late after overachieving to start the season. Kevin Slowey doesn’t have overpowering stuff for the Twins, but he just continues getting the job done witha 5-3 record and 4.53 ERA this season. The Twins are 10-1 in Slowey’s last 11 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Slowey has faced the Rangers once in his career, allowing 1 earned run and 4 hits in 6 innings while striking out 7 of a 5-4 Twins’ victory. Slowey’s biggest strength is his ability to find the strike zone and not give away free passes. He is certainly finding the strike zone of late, allowing just 1 walk total in his last 2 starts. Slowey is 13-1 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in home games after walking <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings since 1997, and his teams are winning these spots by 3.8 runs/game. Twins’ players love playing defense behind Slowey because he keeps the game moving along at a nice pace. Minnesota is 18-5 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better over the last 3 seasons. The Rangers are 0-8 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record and 1-7 in Lewis’ last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. It’s safe to say this is not a good spot for the Rangers.

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