Tulane vs. UL Lafayette Betting Odds & Pick from Jack Jones: December 21st 2013
Tulane vs. UL Lafayette
Betting Pick: Tulane -2 -110 odds (December 21st 2013)
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The Tulane Green Wave are thrilled to death to be playing in a bowl game in 2013. This will be their first bowl appearance since the 2002 Hawaii Bowl, a span of more than a decade. You can bet these players will be amped up for this one. Making matters even better is the fact that they will be playing at home as the school is based in New Orleans, LA, and their home field is the Superdome. Curtis Johnson’s crew will have plenty of fan support for this rare bowl berth.
Tulane had a very impressive season this year in which is was consistently undervalued. That couldn’t have been more evident with its final ATS record of 9-3. The Green Wave were winning games behind a much-improved defense that only allowed 21.2 points and 352.6 yards per game to rank 26th in the country in total defense. This was an opportunistic stop unit as well, one that forced an average of 2.7 turnovers per game. That could be bad news for a Louisiana-Lafayette team that coughed it up an average of 1.7 times per contest.
The Rajin’ Cajuns cannot be too thrilled about playing in the New Orleans Bowl. This will be their third consecutive trip to this bowl, and there’s no question they would have rather gone somewhere else. This is a team that played very poorly down the stretch, going 0-5 against the spread in their last five games overall, which included a 28-31 home loss to Louisiana-Monroe and an 8-30 loss to South Alabama to close out the season.
A big reason for Lafayette’s struggles late was a wrist injury to starting quarterback Terrance Broadway. He is completing 62.3 percent of his passes for 2,276 yards and 19 touchdowns, while also rushing for 421 yards and eight scores. He is doubtful to play Saturday, then the Rajin’ Cajuns could be in trouble if he can’t go. Either way, they like to run the football, and Tulane has the perfect antidote. The Green Wave rank 15th in the country against the run, allowing just 120.0 yards per game and 3.1 per carry.
Plays against road underdogs (LA LAFAYETTE) – poor defensive team (390-440 YPG) against an average defensive team (330-390 YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 3.75 or less yards/play in their previous game are 27-7 (79.4%) ATS since 1992. Tulane is 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS at home this season. The Green Wave are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games on turf. Bet Tulane Saturday.
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