Washington Redskins vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Free Pick: Washington Redskins -6.0 (-110 NFL odds – point spreads)
Sun October 18th 2009 1:00p
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While we readily admit that their offense makes the Washington Redskins a risky investment as favorites, we actually think that the nice effort by the Kansas City Chiefs vs. the Dallas Cowboys last week has made this line a tad short.

After all, the Chiefs are still 0-5 straight up this season and averaging only 16.8 points per game while allowing an unacceptable 27.6 points per contest. They used up a lot of energy in that home loss to Dallas, only to suffer a disheartening overtime loss. We are not sure they have enough left in the tank today to bring that same intensity on the road vs. a Redskins team that does not have the same marquis appeal as the Cowboys.

Now granted, Washington is averaging a woeful 14.6 points per game, but they do have a good defense, allowing 16.4 points and only 290.6 total yards per game. Thus, we could easily see the Skins holding Kansas City to 10 points or less here, so the question becomes can they score 17 points? Well, the Chiefs defense is allowing a whopping 402.8 total yards per game, so even the Redskins should have at least some success against them.

The bottom line here is that if not for the results of last week, Washington would be closer to -8 here instead of laying less than a touchdown. As bad as the Redskins offense has been, we see value at this deflated line vs. a winless team that plays no defense.

NFL Free Pick: Redskins -6 (-110)