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Week 3 NFL Picks

September 22nd, 2012
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Week 3 NFL Picks: September 22nd 2012
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Pick: Indianapolis Colts -3
The Indianapolis Colts should be more heavily favored over the Jacksonville Jaguars at home Sunday in this AFC South showdown. Jacksonville is off to an 0-2 start this season, and it won’t be getting its first win of the year inside Lucas Oil Stadium. After marching down the field over the final 31 seconds to set up Adam Vinatieri’s game-winning 53-yard field goal in a 23-20 victory over Minnesota, Andrew Luck comes into this game with a lot of confidence. I look for the Colts to carry that momentum into this contest. Jacksonville could not have looked any worse in its 7-27 home loss to Houston last week. It was outgained 117-411 for the game, allowing the Texans to rush for 216 yards. Blaine Gabbert is not the answer for the Jaguars after completing 7 of 19 passes against the Texans. He is expected to play Sunday, but he’s banged up with a gluteus injury. The Jaguars are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. The Colts are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in this series. Bet the Colts Sunday. -Jack Jones

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Pick: San Francisco 49ers -6.5
If you love him or you hate him it really doesn’t matter. He doesn’t care that’s for sure. Harbaugh is getting the job done in San Fran. The 49ers have looked like the most complete team in the NFL for the first 2 weeks. They held the high-scoring Packers and Lions to a combined average of 310 yards to start the season. Through 2 games the 49ers are hammering people on the ground, and are 3rd in the league. Playing with the lead in both games suits their game plans just fine with Alex Smith able to take what the defense gives and not force the issue. Plus the defense has picked up right where it left off last season.

The 49ers are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 vs. NFC teams, are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September, and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf. The Vikings are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games, and 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.This is the first meeting since 2009, when Greg Lewis’ amazing catch in the back of the end zone helped Brett Favre and the Vikings win 27-24. Brett’s not playing Sunday and Greg Lewis isn’t…ahhh I digress. 49ers will win by 14+.5* Play on 49ers -6.5 -Ray Monohan

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