Youngstown State vs. Wisconsin Green Bay Odds, Pick & Prediction: March 2nd 2010
Youngstown State vs. Wisconsin Green Bay
Free Pick: Wisconsin Green Bay -9 -110 odds
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If you plan on fading Wisconsin Green Bay in the Resch Center, you better have a darn good reason. The Phoenix have posted a noteworthy 34-9 SU and 21-15 ATS record in their own backyard including a profitable 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games priced as a favorite of -8 or more.
First round road teams in the Horizon League Conference Tournament haven’t done very well either. Dating back to the 2004 tourney, Horizon guests in the “donkey” round are a soft 3-17 SU and 7-12-1 ATS including a miserable 1-14 SU and 3-12 ATS in this situation facing a foe that hold a won/loss percentage of .500 or better.
Youngstown State limps into this game with only one straight up victory in its last 14 tries and the Penguins have dropped nine games in a row. If you’re worried about YSU’s double-revenge motivation here, don’t be. According to my college basketball database, donkey round guests in conference tournament action are a woeful 0-15 SU and 3-12 ATS provided they are running with three days of rest or less, priced as a dog of +7′ or more and take the court in a double payback mode. The Penguins fit this “play against” system perfectly.
State has dropped 12 straight as a Horizon guest and stand just 1-9 SU and 4-6 ATS on this floor against the Phoenix. The Penguins just want this season to end. Take Wisconsin Green Bay. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.
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